Football · Brazil Serie C · 08/08, 22:00

Prediction: Figueirense vs Ferroviaria SP

Team pages: Figueirense · Ferroviaria SP

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.84Total
Figueirense1.03
Ferroviaria SP0.81
1X2
40% 32% 28%
Figueirense Draw Ferroviaria SP
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Figueirense 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WLDWWDDLDW
Ferroviaria SP 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWWDWWLLWD
Head-to-head
Figueirense 0–1 Ferroviaria SP (1 last)
  • Figueirense0-1Ferroviaria SP
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Figueirense 1530 · Ferroviaria SP 1522
FigueirenseDrawFerroviaria SP
Our model39%35%27%
Market41%30%29%
Estimated total (ours) 1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FigueirenseFerroviaria SP
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 0.71.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.40.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.93.4 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.35.9 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Figueirense 001 Ferroviaria SP

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/05/24
Brazil Serie C
Figueirense0-1
HT 0-1
Ferroviaria SP

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brusque 15834 211527
2 Guarani 15753 281526
3 Botafogo PB 15816 211625
4 Inter de Limeira 15744 181725
5 Santa Cruz FC 15735 151124
6 Paysandu 15726 232123
7 Maringa FC 15654 282523
8 Ferroviaria SP 15654 151223
9 Ypiranga RS 15636 181921
10 Caxias RS 15564 141221
11 Floresta EC 15564 161521
12 Amazonas FC 15627 152020
13 Figueirense 15555 131820
14 Ituano 15546 161719
15 Volta Redonda 15537 111918
16 Maranhao 15465 111418
17 Itabaiana 15456 131817
18 Barra FC 15366 171715
19 Anapolis FC 15339 131912
20 AD Confianca 15339 91512

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFigueirenseFerroviaria SP
Santa Cruz FC 1-0 W 1-1 D
Brusque 1-3 L 1-0 W
Ituano 0-0 D 3-1 W
Itabaiana 0-1 L 0-1 L
Amazonas FC 1-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ferroviaria SP (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Figueirense

WLDWWDDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 59 W
14/07 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 156 D
07/07 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-3 106 L
28/06 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 55 D
21/06 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 34 D
15/06 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-1 23 W
01/06 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 611 W
24/05 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 22 D
17/05 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 91 L
10/05 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 25 W

Ferroviaria SP

LWWDWWLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 118 D
12/07 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 3-1 57 W
05/07 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 83 L
28/06 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 37 L
21/06 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 44 W
16/06 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 83 W
31/05 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 86 D
24/05 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-1 37 W
17/05 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 89 W
14/05 CA Juventus
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
0-1 1-2 912 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Figueirense vs Ferroviaria SP?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Figueirense win (40%). Probabilities: Figueirense 40%, draw 32%, Ferroviaria SP 28%.

How many goals are expected in Figueirense vs Ferroviaria SP?

The model expects 1.84 goals (Figueirense 1.03 · Ferroviaria SP 0.81), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Figueirense vs Ferroviaria SP?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.