Football · Brazil Serie C · 08/08, 22:00

Prediction: Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz FC

Team pages: Botafogo PB · Santa Cruz FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Botafogo PB1.31
Santa Cruz FC0.84
1X2
47% 30% 23%
Botafogo PB Draw Santa Cruz FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Botafogo PB 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LLLWDWWWWW
Santa Cruz FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDDWLWWWL
Head-to-head
Botafogo PB 2–1–3 Santa Cruz FC (6 last)
  • Santa Cruz FC2-1Botafogo PB
  • Santa Cruz FC1-1Botafogo PB
  • Botafogo PB1-0Santa Cruz FC
  • Santa Cruz FC0-1Botafogo PB
  • Santa Cruz FC1-0Botafogo PB
  • Botafogo PB1-2Santa Cruz FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Botafogo PB 1546 · Santa Cruz FC 1543
Botafogo PBDrawSanta Cruz FC
Our model46%31%23%
Market47%29%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Santa Cruz FC: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Botafogo PBSanta Cruz FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.81.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.62.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 06.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Botafogo PB 213 Santa Cruz FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/01/23
Brazil Copa Nordeste
Santa Cruz FC2-1
HT 1-1
Botafogo PB
25/09/21
Brazil Serie C
Santa Cruz FC1-1
HT 0-1
Botafogo PB
25/07/21
Brazil Serie C
Botafogo PB1-0
HT 0-0
Santa Cruz FC
10/04/21
Brazil Copa Nordeste
Santa Cruz FC0-1
HT 0-0
Botafogo PB
25/10/20
Brazil Serie C
Santa Cruz FC1-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo PB
23/08/20
Brazil Serie C
Botafogo PB1-2
HT 1-1
Santa Cruz FC

Standings · Brazil Serie C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Brusque 15834 211527
2 Guarani 15753 281526
3 Botafogo PB 15816 211625
4 Inter de Limeira 15744 181725
5 Santa Cruz FC 15735 151124
6 Paysandu 15726 232123
7 Maringa FC 15654 282523
8 Ferroviaria SP 15654 151223
9 Ypiranga RS 15636 181921
10 Caxias RS 15564 141221
11 Floresta EC 15564 161521
12 Amazonas FC 15627 152020
13 Figueirense 15555 131820
14 Ituano 15546 161719
15 Volta Redonda 15537 111918
16 Maranhao 15465 111418
17 Itabaiana 15456 131817
18 Barra FC 15366 171715
19 Anapolis FC 15339 131912
20 AD Confianca 15339 91512

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBotafogo PBSanta Cruz FC
Brusque 2-0 W 1-0 W
Volta Redonda 2-0 W 2-0 W
Ypiranga RS 1-1 D 0-1 L
Maringa FC 2-1 W 1-1 D
Ituano 0-1 L 1-0 W
Inter de Limeira 0-1 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Botafogo PB (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Botafogo PB

LLLWDWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-1 45 W
13/07 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 51 W
06/07 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 18 W
01/07 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 94 W
20/06 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-0 12 W
16/06 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 07 D
30/05 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-1 35 W
26/05 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 75 L
19/05 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 84 L
09/05 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
1-2 1-3 89 L

Santa Cruz FC

WWDDWLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 109 L
12/07 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-1 25 W
05/07 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 14 W
27/06 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
2-0 3-1 24 W
21/06 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 108 L
14/06 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 37 W
31/05 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 36 D
24/05 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-1 74 D
16/05 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 39 W
12/05 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-1 09 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Botafogo PB win (47%). Probabilities: Botafogo PB 47%, draw 30%, Santa Cruz FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz FC?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Botafogo PB 1.31 · Santa Cruz FC 0.84), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.