Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 07/08, 17:30

Prediction: ND Beltinci vs NK Rudar Velenje

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

ND Beltinci1.88

NK Rudar Velenje1.04

1X2

56% 24% 20%

ND Beltinci Draw NK Rudar Velenje

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

ND Beltinci 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWLWL

NK Rudar Velenje 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDDWWLDL

Head-to-head

ND Beltinci 4–2–0 NK Rudar Velenje (6 last)

ND Beltinci2-1NK Rudar Velenje
NK Rudar Velenje2-2ND Beltinci
ND Beltinci0-0NK Rudar Velenje
NK Rudar Velenje0-5ND Beltinci
ND Beltinci1-0NK Rudar Velenje
NK Rudar Velenje0-1ND Beltinci

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ND Beltinci 1525 · NK Rudar Velenje 1489

	ND Beltinci	Draw	NK Rudar Velenje
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	56%	24%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours ND Beltinci: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ND Beltinci	NK Rudar Velenje
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 5.2	2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.75

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.60▼	Bet365 1.60
X	3.60 → 3.75▲	Bet365 3.75
2	3.90 → 4.50▲	Pinn 4.79 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:11 +1’	1.73	3.60	3.90
06:26 +4’	1.60▼	3.75▲	4.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:30	1.52	3.83	4.79
07:44 +1’	1.51▼	3.85▲	4.81▲
08:57 +1’	1.54▲	3.73▼	4.79▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ND Beltinci 4–2–0 NK Rudar Velenje

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	2-1 HT 0-1	NK Rudar Velenje
30/08/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Rudar Velenje	2-2 HT 0-1	ND Beltinci
01/03/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Rudar Velenje
17/08/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Rudar Velenje	0-5 HT 0-2	ND Beltinci
23/03/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	1-0 HT 1-0	NK Rudar Velenje
09/09/23 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Rudar Velenje	0-1 HT 0-1	ND Beltinci

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NK Jesenice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NK Krka	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ND Beltinci	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NK Bilje	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ND Dravinja	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ND Slovan Ljubljana	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NK Bistrica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NK Brezice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Jadran Dekani	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NK Krsko	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NK Rudar Velenje	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NK Vrhnika	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tabor Sezana	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NK Triglav Kranj	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ND Beltinci	NK Rudar Velenje
ND Ilirija Ljubljana	3-1 W	0-0 D
Tabor Sezana	2-0 W	0-2 L
Jadran Dekani	2-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ND Beltinci (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

ND Beltinci

WWWLLWWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Sharjah SCC World Club Friendlies	0-3	0-4	2	0	L
18/07	NK Podvinci Club Friendly List	2-2	5-2	4	0	W
16/07	NK Varazdin Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-2	6	0	L
05/07	NS Mura Europe Friendlies	2-0	4-1	2	3	W
22/05	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	3-1	3-1	6	4	W
16/05	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
10/05	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
06/05	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	3-0	8	4	W
02/05	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
25/04	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	8	6	W

NK Rudar Velenje

LWDDDWWLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
15/05	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	2-2	6	6	D
10/05	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
07/05	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
02/05	ND Gorica Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	3-2	3	7	W
25/04	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	1-1	0	4	D
17/04	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
11/04	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
03/04	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	4-0	2	6	W
27/03	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-2	1	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ND Beltinci vs NK Rudar Velenje?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ND Beltinci win (56%). Probabilities: ND Beltinci 56%, draw 24%, NK Rudar Velenje 20%.

How many goals are expected in ND Beltinci vs NK Rudar Velenje?

The model expects 2.92 goals (ND Beltinci 1.88 · NK Rudar Velenje 1.04), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ND Beltinci vs NK Rudar Velenje?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.