Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 15/08, 19:00

Prediction: NK Brezice vs NK Vrhnika

Team pages: NK Brezice · NK Vrhnika

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
NK Brezice1.49
NK Vrhnika1.34
1X2
40% 27% 33%
NK Brezice Draw NK Vrhnika
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
NK Brezice 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWWDWWWLLL
NK Vrhnika 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWWWLWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Brezice 1538 · NK Vrhnika 1559
NK BreziceDrawNK Vrhnika
Our model40%27%33%
Market40%27%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NK BreziceNK Vrhnika
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.72.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 11 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)17/33/50%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 4.83.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 04.5 / 0

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tabor Sezana 2200 406
2 NK Krsko 2110 324
3 Jadran Dekani 1100 303
4 ND Beltinci 1100 203
5 NK Rudar Velenje 2101 323
6 NK Bilje 1100 213
7 ND Ilirija Ljubljana 1100 103
8 NK Triglav Kranj 2101 113
9 NK Bistrica 1010 001
10 NK Jesenice 2011 141
11 NK Krka 2011 031
12 NK Brezice 1001 120
12 NK Primorje Ajdovscina 1001 120
14 ND Dravinja 1001 010
14 NK Vrhnika 1001 010
16 ND Slovan Ljubljana 1001 030

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Brezice

WWWDWWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 NK Bilje
Slovenia 2. SNL
0-1 1-2 57 L
11/07 Karlovac
Club Friendly List
1-4 L
09/07 HNK Gorica
Club Friendly List
1-2 1-5 L
23/05 DNS Zavrc
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-0 6-0 52 W
16/05 NK Race
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-0 W
09/05 NK Podvinci
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-1 3-1 46 W
02/05 NK Fuzinar
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-2 D
25/04 SD Videm
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-0 W
18/04 NK Dobrovce
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-2 3-2 52 W
11/04 NK Rogaska
Slovenia 3. SNL
0-0 2-1 52 W

NK Vrhnika

WWWWLWWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 NK Triglav Kranj
Slovenia 2. SNL
0-0 0-1 35 L
25/07 Orijent
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-3 L
18/07 NK Bilje
Club Friendly List
2-0 2-0 65 W
08/07 NK Brinje Grosuplje
Club Friendly List
1-0 W
23/05 NK Rudar Trbovlje
Slovenia 3. SNL
4-1 W
16/05 NK Sencur
Slovenia 3. SNL
1-1 2-3 94 L
09/05 NK Sobec Lesce
Slovenia 3. SNL
2-1 5-1 64 W
02/05 Svoboda Ljubljana
Slovenia 3. SNL
5-1 W
25/04 ND Bistrc
Slovenia 3. SNL
3-0 W
18/04 NK Ziri
Slovenia 3. SNL
5-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Brezice vs NK Vrhnika?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Brezice win (40%). Probabilities: NK Brezice 40%, draw 27%, NK Vrhnika 33%.

How many goals are expected in NK Brezice vs NK Vrhnika?

The model expects 2.83 goals (NK Brezice 1.49 · NK Vrhnika 1.34), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Brezice vs NK Vrhnika?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.