Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 15/08, 17:30

Prediction: ND Slovan Ljubljana vs ND Beltinci

Team pages: ND Slovan Ljubljana · ND Beltinci

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

ND Slovan Ljubljana0.87

ND Beltinci1.94

1X2

15% 23% 62%

ND Slovan Ljubljana Draw ND Beltinci

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

ND Slovan Ljubljana 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLDWLWLL

ND Beltinci 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWLWLW

Head-to-head

ND Slovan Ljubljana 1–1–3 ND Beltinci (5 last)

ND Slovan Ljubljana0-2ND Beltinci
ND Beltinci0-0ND Slovan Ljubljana
ND Slovan Ljubljana3-2ND Beltinci
ND Beltinci3-0ND Slovan Ljubljana
ND Beltinci2-0ND Slovan Ljubljana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ND Slovan Ljubljana 1456 · ND Beltinci 1529

	ND Slovan Ljubljana	Draw	ND Beltinci
Our model	15%	23%	61%
Market	16%	22%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ND Beltinci (rating 1456 vs 1529).
H2H favours ND Beltinci: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ND Slovan Ljubljana	ND Beltinci
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	2.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.8	1.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.2	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.75

X4.00

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)2.00

2 (-1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.45 → 1.45	Pinn 1.46 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:23 +10’	5.75	4.00	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:56 +1’	4.88	3.88	1.50
15:31 +33’	5.25▲	4.00▲	1.46▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ND Slovan Ljubljana 1–1–3 ND Beltinci

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Slovan Ljubljana	0-2 HT 0-1	ND Beltinci
23/08/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	0-0 HT 0-0	ND Slovan Ljubljana
24/05/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Slovan Ljubljana	3-2 HT 2-0	ND Beltinci
08/02/25 Club Friendly List	ND Beltinci	3-0 HT 3-0	ND Slovan Ljubljana
17/11/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	2-0 HT 1-0	ND Slovan Ljubljana

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
2	NK Krsko	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
3	Jadran Dekani	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
4	ND Beltinci	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
5	NK Rudar Velenje	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
6	NK Bilje	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
7	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
8	NK Triglav Kranj	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
9	NK Bistrica	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
10	NK Jesenice	2	0	1	1	1	4	1
11	NK Krka	2	0	1	1	0	3	1
12	NK Brezice	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
12	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
14	ND Dravinja	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
14	NK Vrhnika	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
16	ND Slovan Ljubljana	1	0	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ND Slovan Ljubljana	ND Beltinci
NK Bistrica	0-1 L	3-0 W
Tabor Sezana	5-1 W	2-0 W
ND Ilirija Ljubljana	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: ND Beltinci (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

ND Slovan Ljubljana

WDLLDWLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	0-3	8	7	L
23/05	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
17/05	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	5-1	3	6	W
10/05	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	1-4	1-5	3	4	L
07/05	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
30/04	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
25/04	ND Gorica Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
19/04	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	1-2	3	8	L
12/04	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	2-2	10	10	D
08/04	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	2-1	3	3	W

ND Beltinci

WWLLWWLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
22/07	Sharjah SCC World Club Friendlies	0-3	0-4	2	0	L
18/07	NK Podvinci Club Friendly List	2-2	5-2	4	0	W
16/07	NK Varazdin Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-2	6	0	L
05/07	NS Mura Europe Friendlies	2-0	4-1	2	3	W
22/05	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	3-1	3-1	6	4	W
16/05	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
10/05	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
06/05	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	3-0	8	4	W
02/05	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ND Slovan Ljubljana vs ND Beltinci?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ND Beltinci win (62%). Probabilities: ND Slovan Ljubljana 15%, draw 23%, ND Beltinci 62%.

How many goals are expected in ND Slovan Ljubljana vs ND Beltinci?

The model expects 2.81 goals (ND Slovan Ljubljana 0.87 · ND Beltinci 1.94), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ND Slovan Ljubljana vs ND Beltinci?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.