Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 15/08, 19:00
Prediction: NK Primorje Ajdovscina vs Jadran Dekani
Team pages: Jadran Dekani
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
NK Primorje Ajdovscina1.34
Jadran Dekani1.27
1X2
NK Primorje Ajdovscina
Draw
Jadran Dekani
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
NK Primorje Ajdovscina
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Jadran Dekani
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Primorje Ajdovscina
2–3–1
Jadran Dekani
(6 last)
- NK Primorje Ajdovscina4-1Jadran Dekani
- Jadran Dekani1-1NK Primorje Ajdovscina
- NK Primorje Ajdovscina2-2Jadran Dekani
- Jadran Dekani0-1NK Primorje Ajdovscina
- Jadran Dekani4-0NK Primorje Ajdovscina
- NK Primorje Ajdovscina3-3Jadran Dekani
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Primorje Ajdovscina 1414 · Jadran Dekani 1496
| NK Primorje Ajdovscina | Draw | Jadran Dekani | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 25% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jadran Dekani (rating 1414 vs 1496).
- H2H favours NK Primorje Ajdovscina: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Primorje Ajdovscina | Jadran Dekani | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 1 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.6 | 3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Primorje Ajdovscina 2–3–1 Jadran Dekani
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/24 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Jadran Dekani |
| 10/09/23 Slovenia 2. SNL | Jadran Dekani | 1-1 HT 1-1 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina |
| 19/03/23 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Jadran Dekani |
| 03/09/22 Slovenia 2. SNL | Jadran Dekani | 0-1 HT 0-1 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina |
| 27/11/21 Slovenia 2. SNL | Jadran Dekani | 4-0 HT 2-0 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina |
| 14/08/21 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Jadran Dekani |
Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabor Sezana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | NK Krsko | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Jadran Dekani | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | ND Beltinci | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | NK Rudar Velenje | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | NK Bilje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | NK Triglav Kranj | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | NK Bistrica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | NK Jesenice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | NK Krka | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | NK Brezice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | ND Dravinja | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | NK Vrhnika | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | ND Slovan Ljubljana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Primorje Ajdovscina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/07 | NK Uljanik Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 31/05 | NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-4 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | NK Aluminij Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Jadran Dekani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Ankaran Hrvatini Slovenia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 31/07 | NK Uljanik Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | HNK Rijeka Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | FC Bihor Oradea Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/07 | FC Arges Pitesti Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-3 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL |
4-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Primorje Ajdovscina vs Jadran Dekani?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Primorje Ajdovscina win (38%). Probabilities: NK Primorje Ajdovscina 38%, draw 27%, Jadran Dekani 35%.
How many goals are expected in NK Primorje Ajdovscina vs Jadran Dekani?
The model expects 2.61 goals (NK Primorje Ajdovscina 1.34 · Jadran Dekani 1.27), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Primorje Ajdovscina vs Jadran Dekani?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.