Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 27/08, 00:30
Prediction: Real Potosi vs Real Tomayapo
Team pages: Real Potosi · Real Tomayapo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Real Potosi2.2
Real Tomayapo0.86
1X2
Real Potosi
Draw
Real Tomayapo
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Potosi
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Real Tomayapo
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Potosi
1–2–0
Real Tomayapo
(3 last)
- Real Tomayapo1-1Real Potosi
- Real Potosi1-0Real Tomayapo
- Real Tomayapo0-0Real Potosi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Potosi 1563 · Real Tomayapo 1452
| Real Potosi | Draw | Real Tomayapo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 21% | 13% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Potosi (rating 1563 vs 1452).
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Potosi | Real Tomayapo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.4 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.8 | 2.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Potosi 1–2–0 Real Tomayapo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Real Tomayapo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Real Potosi |
| 12/09/21 Bolivia Apertura | Real Potosi | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Real Tomayapo |
| 02/04/21 Bolivia Apertura | Real Tomayapo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Real Potosi |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 10 | 35 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 18 | 33 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | Oriente Petrolero | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 20 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Potosi | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 25 |
| 6 | Guabira | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 28 | 25 |
| 7 | Club Aurora | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 23 |
| 8 | Blooming | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 22 |
| 9 | Independiente Petrolero | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | Nacional Potosi | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 21 |
| 11 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 33 | 17 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 42 | 17 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 17 |
| 14 | GV San Jose | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 13 |
| 15 | Real Tomayapo | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 32 | 13 |
| 16 | Universitario De Vinto | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 35 | 11 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Potosi | Real Tomayapo |
|---|---|---|
| Club Aurora | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Always Ready | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Blooming | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Universitario De Vinto | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| GV San Jose | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Independiente Petrolero | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Nacional Potosi | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 4 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Potosi (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Potosi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/08 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/07 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/07 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 09/07 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Real Tomayapo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 14/08 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 05/08 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 27/07 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/07 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Potosi vs Real Tomayapo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Potosi win (67%). Probabilities: Real Potosi 67%, draw 20%, Real Tomayapo 13%.
How many goals are expected in Real Potosi vs Real Tomayapo?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Real Potosi 2.2 · Real Tomayapo 0.86), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Potosi vs Real Tomayapo?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.