Football · Chile Primera B · 08/08, 23:30
Prediction: Cobreloa vs Deportes Iquique
Team pages: Cobreloa · Deportes Iquique
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Cobreloa1.87
Deportes Iquique1.02
1X2
Cobreloa
Draw
Deportes Iquique
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cobreloa
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Deportes Iquique
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cobreloa
1–2–3
Deportes Iquique
(6 last)
- Deportes Iquique1-2Cobreloa
- Deportes Iquique1-1Cobreloa
- Cobreloa0-0Deportes Iquique
- Deportes Iquique2-0Cobreloa
- Deportes Iquique4-1Cobreloa
- Cobreloa0-2Deportes Iquique
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cobreloa 1555 · Deportes Iquique 1499
| Cobreloa | Draw | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cobreloa (rating 1555 vs 1499).
- H2H favours Deportes Iquique: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cobreloa | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.4 | 3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cobreloa 1–2–3 Deportes Iquique
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Cobreloa |
| 25/01/26 America Friendlies | Deportes Iquique | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Cobreloa |
| 23/03/25 Chile Cup | Cobreloa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Iquique |
| 10/02/25 Chile Cup | Deportes Iquique | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cobreloa |
| 20/10/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Iquique | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Cobreloa |
| 13/07/24 Chile Cup | Cobreloa | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Deportes Iquique |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 32 |
| 3 | Puerto Montt | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 29 |
| 5 | San Marcos De Arica | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportes Copiapo | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 26 |
| 8 | Magallanes | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 28 | 25 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 23 |
| 11 | Deportes Recoleta | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 19 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 17 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 16 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 13 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 29 | 5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cobreloa | Deportes Iquique |
|---|---|---|
| Curico Unido | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Recoleta | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cobreloa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 20/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Deportes Iquique
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cobreloa vs Deportes Iquique?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cobreloa win (56%). Probabilities: Cobreloa 56%, draw 25%, Deportes Iquique 19%.
How many goals are expected in Cobreloa vs Deportes Iquique?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Cobreloa 1.87 · Deportes Iquique 1.02), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cobreloa vs Deportes Iquique?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.