Football · Chile Primera B · 08/08, 21:00
Prediction: Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica
Team pages: Santiago Wanderers · San Marcos De Arica
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Santiago Wanderers1.31
San Marcos De Arica1.11
1X2
Santiago Wanderers
Draw
San Marcos De Arica
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Wanderers
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
San Marcos De Arica
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santiago Wanderers
4–2–0
San Marcos De Arica
(6 last)
- San Marcos De Arica0-0Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers1-0San Marcos De Arica
- San Marcos De Arica1-2Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers2-0San Marcos De Arica
- San Marcos De Arica0-0Santiago Wanderers
- San Marcos De Arica1-2Santiago Wanderers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago Wanderers 1487 · San Marcos De Arica 1449
| Santiago Wanderers | Draw | San Marcos De Arica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 40% | 29% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Santiago Wanderers: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santiago Wanderers | San Marcos De Arica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.9 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/0/60% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.2 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.4 | 5.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Wanderers 4–2–0 San Marcos De Arica
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 04/08/25 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Marcos De Arica |
| 16/03/25 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 29/09/24 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 2-0 HT 0-0 | San Marcos De Arica |
| 12/05/24 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 11/09/23 Chile Primera B | San Marcos De Arica | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Santiago Wanderers |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 32 |
| 3 | Puerto Montt | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 29 |
| 5 | San Marcos De Arica | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportes Copiapo | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 26 |
| 8 | Magallanes | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 28 | 25 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 23 |
| 11 | Deportes Recoleta | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 19 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 17 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 16 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 13 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 29 | 5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 30/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
San Marcos De Arica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 12 | W |
| 06/07 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Santiago Wanderers win (40%). Probabilities: Santiago Wanderers 40%, draw 29%, San Marcos De Arica 31%.
How many goals are expected in Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Santiago Wanderers 1.31 · San Marcos De Arica 1.11), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.