Football · Chile Primera B · 08/08, 18:30

Prediction: Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta

Team pages: Union San Felipe · Deportes Recoleta

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Union San Felipe1.08
Deportes Recoleta1.3
1X2
30% 29% 41%
Union San Felipe Draw Deportes Recoleta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Union San Felipe 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLWDWLDLLL
Deportes Recoleta 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
WLDDDLDDLL
Head-to-head
Union San Felipe 0–2–4 Deportes Recoleta (6 last)
  • Deportes Recoleta2-0Union San Felipe
  • Deportes Recoleta2-1Union San Felipe
  • Union San Felipe0-0Deportes Recoleta
  • Deportes Recoleta0-0Union San Felipe
  • Union San Felipe0-1Deportes Recoleta
  • Union San Felipe1-2Deportes Recoleta
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union San Felipe 1456 · Deportes Recoleta 1473
Union San FelipeDrawDeportes Recoleta
Our model30%30%40%
Market31%28%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Deportes Recoleta: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Union San FelipeDeportes Recoleta
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.91 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.80.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 2.81.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.15.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union San Felipe 024 Deportes Recoleta

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/03/26
Chile Primera B
Deportes Recoleta2-0
HT 1-0
Union San Felipe
10/08/25
Chile Primera B
Deportes Recoleta2-1
HT 1-0
Union San Felipe
29/03/25
Chile Primera B
Union San Felipe0-0
HT 0-0
Deportes Recoleta
22/07/24
Chile Primera B
Deportes Recoleta0-0
HT 0-0
Union San Felipe
04/03/24
Chile Primera B
Union San Felipe0-1
HT 0-0
Deportes Recoleta
30/09/23
Chile Primera B
Union San Felipe1-2
HT 0-2
Deportes Recoleta

Standings · Chile Primera B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cobreloa 17962 341933
2 Santiago Wanderers 17953 341932
3 Puerto Montt 18936 211830
4 CD Antofagasta 18855 322029
5 San Marcos De Arica 17782 221229
6 San Luis Quillota 17764 272327
7 Deportes Copiapo 17755 252426
8 Magallanes 17746 272825
9 Union Espanola 18747 252625
10 Deportes Temuco 17656 272323
11 Deportes Recoleta 17647 252722
12 Curico Unido 17476 172619
13 Deportes Iquique 17386 212417
14 Union San Felipe 17449 143416
15 Club Deportes Santa Cruz 18279 223313
16 Rangers de Talca 170512 12295

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnion San FelipeDeportes Recoleta
Union Espanola 2-2 D 1-2 L
Puerto Montt 1-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Union San Felipe (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union San Felipe

WLWDWLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/08 Universidad de Chile
Chile Cup
0-1 0-1 12 L
01/08 CD Antofagasta
Chile Primera B
0-2 1-5 40 L
25/07 Santiago Wanderers
Chile Primera B
0-1 0-2 13 L
04/07 Union La Calera
Chile Cup
0-0 1-1 25 D
28/06 Universidad de Chile
Chile Cup
0-1 0-2 14 L
21/06 Union La Calera
Chile Cup
1-0 2-0 W
09/06 Union Espanola
Chile Primera B
1-1 2-2 54 D
30/05 Puerto Montt
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-0 71 W
24/05 Deportes Temuco
Chile Primera B
0-2 0-5 21 L
16/05 Rangers de Talca
Chile Primera B
1-0 2-1 24 W

Deportes Recoleta

WLDDDLDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Puerto Montt
Chile Primera B
0-1 0-1 105 L
28/07 Union Espanola
Chile Primera B
0-0 1-2 55 L
07/07 Colo Colo
Chile Cup
1-1 2-2 65 D
28/06 O'Higgins
Chile Cup
0-0 1-1 28 D
20/06 Colo Colo
Chile Cup
0-2 0-3 33 L
07/06 Deportes Iquique
Chile Primera B
0-1 1-1 55 D
30/05 San Luis Quillota
Chile Primera B
0-0 0-0 51 D
21/05 Cobreloa
Chile Primera B
1-1 2-2 77 D
16/05 Magallanes
Chile Primera B
0-2 2-3 68 L
09/05 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile Primera B
1-0 1-0 79 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportes Recoleta win (41%). Probabilities: Union San Felipe 30%, draw 29%, Deportes Recoleta 41%.

How many goals are expected in Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Union San Felipe 1.08 · Deportes Recoleta 1.3), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Union San Felipe vs Deportes Recoleta?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.