Football · Poland III Liga · 07/08, 17:00
Prediction: Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Wigry Suwalki
Team pages: Wigry Suwalki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Jagiellonia Bialystok II1.22
Wigry Suwalki1.56
1X2
Jagiellonia Bialystok II
Draw
Wigry Suwalki
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Jagiellonia Bialystok II
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Wigry Suwalki
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jagiellonia Bialystok II
2–1–1
Wigry Suwalki
(4 last)
- Wigry Suwalki1-0Jagiellonia Bialystok II
- Jagiellonia Bialystok II3-1Wigry Suwalki
- Jagiellonia Bialystok II1-0Wigry Suwalki
- Wigry Suwalki1-1Jagiellonia Bialystok II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jagiellonia Bialystok II 1515 · Wigry Suwalki 1573
| Jagiellonia Bialystok II | Draw | Wigry Suwalki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | 31% | 23% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wigry Suwalki (rating 1515 vs 1573).
- H2H favours Jagiellonia Bialystok II: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jagiellonia Bialystok II | Wigry Suwalki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jagiellonia Bialystok II 2–1–1 Wigry Suwalki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 Poland III Liga | Wigry Suwalki | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Jagiellonia Bialystok II |
| 02/08/25 Poland III Liga | Jagiellonia Bialystok II | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Wigry Suwalki |
| 11/05/25 Poland III Liga | Jagiellonia Bialystok II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Wigry Suwalki |
| 13/10/24 Poland III Liga | Wigry Suwalki | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Jagiellonia Bialystok II |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisla Krakow II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Czarni Polaniec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Chelmianka Chelm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | JKS Jaroslaw | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Wisloka Debica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Korona Kielce II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Moravia Morawica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jagiellonia Bialystok II | Wigry Suwalki |
|---|---|---|
| KS Wasilkow | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| GKS Belchatow | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Mlawianka Mlawa | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| LKS Lomza | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Warta Sieradz | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Wigry Suwalki (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jagiellonia Bialystok II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | KS Wasilkow Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | GKS Belchatow Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | CK Troszyn Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/05 | Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | LKS Lomza Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 30/04 | Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga |
3-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Bron Radom Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 15/04 | Znicz Biala Piska Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Wigry Suwalki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | KS Wasilkow Poland III Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | GKS Belchatow Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Legia Warsaw II Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | LKS Lomza Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Wigry Suwalki?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Wigry Suwalki win (45%). Probabilities: Jagiellonia Bialystok II 30%, draw 25%, Wigry Suwalki 45%.
How many goals are expected in Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Wigry Suwalki?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Jagiellonia Bialystok II 1.22 · Wigry Suwalki 1.56), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Jagiellonia Bialystok II vs Wigry Suwalki?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.