Prediction: Danubio vs Cerro
- Cerro0-1Danubio
- Danubio5-1Cerro
- Cerro1-1Danubio
- Danubio0-0Cerro
- Cerro0-0Danubio
- Cerro2-0Danubio
| Danubio | Draw | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 30% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Danubio: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Danubio | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 1.1 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.6 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Danubio 2–3–1 Cerro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 Uruguay Apertura | Cerro | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 14/09/25 Uruguay Clausura | Danubio | 5-1 HT 4-0 | Cerro |
| 23/03/25 Uruguay Apertura | Cerro | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Danubio |
| 14/11/24 Uruguay Clausura | Danubio | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cerro |
| 22/06/24 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Cerro | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 11/05/24 Uruguay Apertura | Cerro | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Danubio |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Danubio | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Nacional De Football | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cerro (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Danubio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Albion FC Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Torque Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 05/07 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 09/05 | Albion FC Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
Cerro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | Penarol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Central Espanol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Boston River Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Apertura |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Central Espanol Uruguay Apertura |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Danubio vs Cerro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Danubio win (49%). Probabilities: Danubio 49%, draw 28%, Cerro 22%.
How many goals are expected in Danubio vs Cerro?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Danubio 1.67 · Cerro 1.07), with a 58% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Danubio vs Cerro?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.