Football · Uruguay Clausura · 08/08, 00:00

Prediction: Cerro Largo vs Juventud De Las Piedras

Team pages: Cerro Largo · Juventud De Las Piedras

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Cerro Largo1.26
Juventud De Las Piedras1.23
1X2
36% 29% 35%
Cerro Largo Draw Juventud De Las Piedras
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cerro Largo 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWLLWWDDWL
Juventud De Las Piedras 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WWDDLLDLWD
Head-to-head
Cerro Largo 4–1–1 Juventud De Las Piedras (6 last)
  • Juventud De Las Piedras0-1Cerro Largo
  • Juventud De Las Piedras0-2Cerro Largo
  • Cerro Largo1-1Juventud De Las Piedras
  • Cerro Largo2-0Juventud De Las Piedras
  • Juventud De Las Piedras1-0Cerro Largo
  • Cerro Largo1-0Juventud De Las Piedras
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cerro Largo 1514 · Juventud De Las Piedras 1495
Cerro LargoDrawJuventud De Las Piedras
Our model36%30%34%
Market37%28%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Cerro Largo: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cerro LargoJuventud De Las Piedras
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.91.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)0.9 / 2.81.7 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.35.4 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerro Largo 411 Juventud De Las Piedras

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/02/26
Uruguay Apertura
Juventud De Las Piedras0-1
HT 0-1
Cerro Largo
02/08/25
Uruguay Clausura
Juventud De Las Piedras0-2
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
31/01/25
Uruguay Apertura
Cerro Largo1-1
HT 0-0
Juventud De Las Piedras
16/10/19
Uruguay Clausura
Cerro Largo2-0
HT 0-0
Juventud De Las Piedras
24/03/19
Uruguay Apertura
Juventud De Las Piedras1-0
HT 1-0
Cerro Largo
15/09/18
Uruguay Segunda
Cerro Largo1-0Juventud De Las Piedras

Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Montevideo Wanderers 7430 12415
2 Nacional De Football 7412 8813
3 Deportivo Maldonado 7331 12612
4 Torque 7403 111112
5 Juventud De Las Piedras 7223 8118
6 Albion FC 7133 686
7 Club Atletico Progreso 7205 6116
8 Danubio 7043 594

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCerro LargoJuventud De Las Piedras
Defensor Sporting 1-1 D 2-1 W
Club Atletico Progreso 1-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Juventud De Las Piedras (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cerro Largo

LWLLWWDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Penarol
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
0-1 0-3 73 L
25/07 Central Espanol
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
1-0 1-0 16 W
14/07 Defensor Sporting
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
1-1 1-1 54 D
09/06 Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
0-0 0-0 15 D
30/05 Cerro
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
0-0 2-0 55 W
23/05 Boston River
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
1-0 3-0 15 W
17/05 Racing Club de Montevideo
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
0-1 0-1 18 L
12/05 Penarol
Uruguay Apertura
1-0 2-3 14 L
03/05 Club Atletico Progreso
Uruguay Apertura
0-0 1-0 36 W
26/04 Racing Club de Montevideo
Uruguay Apertura
0-1 0-1 36 L

Juventud De Las Piedras

WWDDLLDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Deportivo Maldonado
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
0-0 0-0 55 D
17/07 Albion FC
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
0-0 1-0 46 W
11/07 Torque
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
1-0 1-3 37 L
05/07 Danubio
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
1-1 1-1 55 D
06/06 Nacional De Football
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
1-0 1-2 36 L
31/05 Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
1-1 2-5 08 L
28/05 Cienciano
Copa Sudamericana
0-1 1-1 94 D
22/05 Academia Puerto Cabello
Copa Sudamericana
1-1 1-1 21 D
16/05 Club Atletico Progreso
Uruguay Torneo Intermedio
2-0 2-0 46 W
10/05 Defensor Sporting
Uruguay Apertura
1-0 2-1 310 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cerro Largo vs Juventud De Las Piedras?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerro Largo win (36%). Probabilities: Cerro Largo 36%, draw 29%, Juventud De Las Piedras 35%.

How many goals are expected in Cerro Largo vs Juventud De Las Piedras?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Cerro Largo 1.26 · Juventud De Las Piedras 1.23), with a 58% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Cerro Largo vs Juventud De Las Piedras?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.