Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 06/08, 21:30
Prediction: Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas
Team pages: Academia Puerto Cabello · Caracas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Academia Puerto Cabello1.45
Caracas0.9
1X2
Academia Puerto Cabello
Draw
Caracas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Academia Puerto Cabello
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Caracas
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Academia Puerto Cabello
1–5–0
Caracas
(6 last)
- Caracas1-1Academia Puerto Cabello
- Academia Puerto Cabello0-0Caracas
- Caracas0-0Academia Puerto Cabello
- Caracas0-0Academia Puerto Cabello
- Academia Puerto Cabello2-0Caracas
- Academia Puerto Cabello1-1Caracas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Academia Puerto Cabello 1510 · Caracas 1461
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Academia Puerto Cabello (rating 1510 vs 1461).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Caracas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.1 | 2.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Puerto Cabello 1–5–0 Caracas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 25/08/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Puerto Cabello | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Caracas |
| 15/03/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 04/09/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Caracas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 17/03/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Puerto Cabello | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Caracas |
| 26/01/24 Club Friendly List | Academia Puerto Cabello | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Caracas |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | Zamora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Deportivo Tachira | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Trujillanos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Portuguesa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | UCV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Estudiantes Merida | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Monagas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Academia Puerto Cabello
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/06 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 28/05 | Atletico Mineiro Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Juventud De Las Piedras Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/05 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 06/05 | Cienciano Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Caracas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 31/07 | Independiente Santa Fe Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Independiente Santa Fe Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/06 | Aragua Venezuela Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Botafogo Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Racing Club Copa Sudamericana |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Independiente Petrolero Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 30/04 | Racing Club Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 20/04 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia Puerto Cabello win (49%). Probabilities: Academia Puerto Cabello 49%, draw 29%, Caracas 22%.
How many goals are expected in Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Academia Puerto Cabello 1.45 · Caracas 0.9), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Academia Puerto Cabello vs Caracas?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.