Football · England FA WSL 2 · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: Sheff Utd (W) vs Durham (W)

Team pages: Sheff Utd (W) · Durham (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Sheff Utd (W)1.78
Durham (W)1.47
1X2
44% 25% 31%
Sheff Utd (W) Draw Durham (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Sheff Utd (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
DLWLLLLLLL
Durham (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLDLDWWLLL
Head-to-head
Sheff Utd (W) 2–3–1 Durham (W) (6 last)
  • Durham (W)2-1Sheff Utd (W)
  • Durham (W)0-1Sheff Utd (W)
  • Sheff Utd (W)2-1Durham (W)
  • Durham (W)1-1Sheff Utd (W)
  • Sheff Utd (W)1-1Durham (W)
  • Durham (W)1-1Sheff Utd (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sheff Utd (W) 1408 · Durham (W) 1430
Sheff Utd (W)DrawDurham (W)
Our model44%25%31%
Market44%25%31%
Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sheff Utd (W): 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sheff Utd (W)Durham (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 2.81.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.90.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.51.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.42.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sheff Utd (W) 2–3–1 Durham (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
England FA WSL 2
Durham (W)2-1
HT 1-0
Sheff Utd (W)
14/12/25
England FA Cup Women
Durham (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Sheff Utd (W)
02/11/25
England FA WSL 2
Sheff Utd (W)2-1
HT 1-0
Durham (W)
24/09/25
England League Cup Women
Durham (W)1-1
HT 1-1
Sheff Utd (W)
02/02/25
England Championship Women
Sheff Utd (W)1-1
HT 0-1
Durham (W)
24/11/24
England League Cup Women
Durham (W)1-1
HT 0-0
Sheff Utd (W)

Standings · England FA WSL 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Newcastle (W) 3300 719
2 Sunderland (W) 3210 627
3 Wolverhampton (W) 3201 636
4 Leicester (W) 3201 536
5 Southampton (W) 3120 315
6 Nottm Forest (W) 3120 545
7 Ipswich Town (W) 3120 215
8 Bristol City (W) 3102 663
9 Watford (W) 3021 372
10 Burnley (W) 3012 151
11 Durham (W) 3003 490
12 Sheff Utd (W) 3003 280

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSheff Utd (W)Durham (W)
Newcastle (W) 1-4 L 1-0 W
Leicester (W) 0-1 L 2-4 L
Bristol City (W) 0-4 L 2-2 D
Ipswich Town (W) 1-4 L 1-2 L
Southampton (W) 2-5 L 1-3 L
Sunderland (W) 2-2 D 2-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 5 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Durham (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sheff Utd (W)

DLWLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Newcastle (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-2 1-4 31 L
13/09 Wolverhampton (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-0 1-3 82 L
06/09 Leicester (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-0 0-1 35 L
02/05 Bristol City (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-2 0-4 20 L
26/04 Durham (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-1 1-2 85 L
22/04 Ipswich Town (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-1 1-4 74 L
03/04 Southampton (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-2 2-5 33 L
28/03 Portsmouth (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-0 2-1 53 W
22/03 Birmingham (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-1 1-2 30 L
18/03 Sunderland (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-0 2-2 35 D

Durham (W)

LLDLDWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Nottm Forest (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-1 1-2 13 L
13/09 Leicester (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-3 2-4 60 L
06/09 Southampton (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-0 1-3 32 L
02/05 Newcastle (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-0 1-0 20 W
26/04 Sheff Utd (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-0 2-1 35 W
05/04 Bristol City (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-1 2-2 91 D
29/03 Nottm Forest (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-2 1-2 03 L
22/03 Southampton (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-0 0-0 84 D
15/03 Ipswich Town (W)
England FA WSL 2
0-2 1-2 44 L
20/02 Sunderland (W)
England FA WSL 2
1-0 2-3 42 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sheff Utd (W) vs Durham (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sheff Utd (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Sheff Utd (W) 44%, draw 25%, Durham (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in Sheff Utd (W) vs Durham (W)?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Sheff Utd (W) 1.78 · Durham (W) 1.47), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sheff Utd (W) vs Durham (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.