Prediction: Southampton (W) vs Nottm Forest (W)
Team pages: Southampton (W) · Nottm Forest (W)
- Nottm Forest (W)0-3Southampton (W)
- Southampton (W)2-3Nottm Forest (W)
| Southampton (W) | Draw | Nottm Forest (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 26% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Southampton (W) (rating 1550 vs 1510).
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Southampton (W) | Nottm Forest (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.4 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Southampton (W) 1–0–1 Nottm Forest (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 England FA WSL 2 | Nottm Forest (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Southampton (W) |
| 02/11/25 England FA WSL 2 | Southampton (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Nottm Forest (W) |
Standings · England FA WSL 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Sunderland (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Leicester (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Southampton (W) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Nottm Forest (W) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Ipswich Town (W) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Bristol City (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | Watford (W) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 10 | Burnley (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 11 | Durham (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 | Sheff Utd (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Southampton (W) | Nottm Forest (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Ipswich Town (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Durham (W) | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Southampton (W) (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Southampton (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Sunderland (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Ipswich Town (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Durham (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Nottm Forest (W) England FA WSL 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Charlton (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 03/04 | Sheff Utd (W) England FA WSL 2 |
2-1 | 5-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Ipswich Town (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Durham (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 15/03 | Birmingham (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/02 | Bristol City (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Nottm Forest (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Durham (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Watford (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Ipswich Town (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Southampton (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Portsmouth (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 05/04 | Newcastle (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 29/03 | Durham (W) England FA WSL 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Ipswich Town (W) England FA WSL 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Crystal Palace (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/03 | Sunderland (W) England FA WSL 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Southampton (W) vs Nottm Forest (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nottm Forest (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Southampton (W) 33%, draw 28%, Nottm Forest (W) 39%.
How many goals are expected in Southampton (W) vs Nottm Forest (W)?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Southampton (W) 1.21 · Nottm Forest (W) 1.33), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Southampton (W) vs Nottm Forest (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.