Football · Uruguay Segunda · 08/08, 15:00

Prediction: Uruguay Montevideo vs Paysandu FC

Team pages: Uruguay Montevideo · Paysandu FC

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Uruguay Montevideo1.35
Paysandu FC1.32
1X2
37% 28% 35%
Uruguay Montevideo Draw Paysandu FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Uruguay Montevideo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLLWLDDW
Paysandu FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Uruguay Montevideo 1483 · Paysandu FC 1512
Uruguay MontevideoDrawPaysandu FC
Our model36%29%35%
Market37%28%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Uruguay MontevideoPaysandu FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.31.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 4.92.7 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.87 / 0.4

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUruguay MontevideoPaysandu FC
Club Oriental 1-1 D 2-1 W
Colon FC 0-1 L 3-2 W
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 3-2 W 1-0 W
Rentistas 0-1 L 2-1 W
Miramar Misiones 1-3 L 2-3 L
Tacuarembo 0-1 L 0-1 L
Plaza Colonia 2-0 W 1-2 L
La Luz 0-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 5 L 5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Paysandu FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Uruguay Montevideo

LWLLLWLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 3-1 24 W
18/07 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 76 D
12/07 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 24 D
06/07 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 27 L
27/06 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 3-2 1011 W
21/06 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 410 L
13/06 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 1-3 78 L
07/06 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 53 L
30/05 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 2-0 65 W
24/05 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 49 L

Paysandu FC

LLWLLLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/08 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-1 39 W
25/07 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 3-2 53 W
14/07 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 58 W
04/07 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-1 45 W
28/06 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-3 18 L
20/06 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 614 L
14/06 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-2 59 L
06/06 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-1 55 W
30/05 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 87 L
23/05 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-3 36 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Uruguay Montevideo vs Paysandu FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Uruguay Montevideo win (37%). Probabilities: Uruguay Montevideo 37%, draw 28%, Paysandu FC 35%.

How many goals are expected in Uruguay Montevideo vs Paysandu FC?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Uruguay Montevideo 1.35 · Paysandu FC 1.32), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Uruguay Montevideo vs Paysandu FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.