Football · Uruguay Segunda · 15/08, 15:00

Prediction: CA River Plate vs Miramar Misiones

Team pages: CA River Plate · Miramar Misiones

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

CA River Plate1.49

Miramar Misiones1.1

1X2

45% 29% 26%

CA River Plate Draw Miramar Misiones

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CA River Plate 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWWDLW

Miramar Misiones 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDLLLD

Head-to-head

CA River Plate 0–4–2 Miramar Misiones (6 last)

Miramar Misiones1-1CA River Plate
Miramar Misiones1-0CA River Plate
CA River Plate1-1Miramar Misiones
Miramar Misiones3-0CA River Plate
CA River Plate0-0Miramar Misiones
Miramar Misiones0-0CA River Plate

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA River Plate 1495 · Miramar Misiones 1490

	CA River Plate	Draw	Miramar Misiones
Our model	45%	28%	27%
Market	45%	29%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Miramar Misiones: 2-4-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA River Plate	Miramar Misiones
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.8	1.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.2	6.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.10

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:47 +5’	2.00	3.10	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA River Plate 0–4–2 Miramar Misiones

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Uruguay Segunda	Miramar Misiones	1-1 HT 0-1	CA River Plate
07/04/26 Uruguay Segunda	Miramar Misiones	1-0 HT 1-0	CA River Plate
02/11/25 Uruguay Clausura	CA River Plate	1-1 HT 1-0	Miramar Misiones
05/05/25 Uruguay Apertura	Miramar Misiones	3-0 HT 1-0	CA River Plate
13/11/24 Uruguay Clausura	CA River Plate	0-0 HT 0-0	Miramar Misiones
11/05/24 Uruguay Apertura	Miramar Misiones	0-0 HT 0-0	CA River Plate

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Oriental	6	4	1	1	8	5	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9	2	12
3	Colon FC	6	2	3	1	8	5	9
4	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
5	Miramar Misiones	6	1	2	3	3	7	5
6	Paysandu FC	6	1	1	4	4	7	4
7	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6	13	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA River Plate	Miramar Misiones
Huracan DPA	2-0 W	0-1 L
Tacuarembo	0-1 L	1-1 D
Uruguay Montevideo	1-1 D	3-1 W
Plaza Colonia	3-2 W	0-3 L
Club Oriental	2-1 W	2-2 D
La Luz	0-0 D	0-1 L
Colon FC	1-2 L	3-1 W
Cerrito	6-4 W	0-1 L
CA Atenas	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CA River Plate (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA River Plate

LLWLDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
02/08	Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda	–	0-1	–	–	L
18/07	Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-1	7	6	D
11/07	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	2-1	3-2	5	5	W
05/07	Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
28/06	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
20/06	Colon FC Uruguay Segunda	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
14/06	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	5-3	6-4	4	8	W
06/06	Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	1-1	1-3	9	8	L
31/05	CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-2	8	8	L

Miramar Misiones

WDWLWDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
02/08	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-3	4	9	L
27/07	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-1	7	9	L
12/07	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
06/07	CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
28/06	Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda	0-1	3-2	4	8	W
19/06	Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
13/06	Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	2-0	3-1	2	8	W
08/06	Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda	1-1	2-2	7	8	D
31/05	Colon FC Uruguay Segunda	2-0	3-1	3	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA River Plate vs Miramar Misiones?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA River Plate win (45%). Probabilities: CA River Plate 45%, draw 29%, Miramar Misiones 26%.

How many goals are expected in CA River Plate vs Miramar Misiones?

The model expects 2.59 goals (CA River Plate 1.49 · Miramar Misiones 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CA River Plate vs Miramar Misiones?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.