Football · Uruguay Segunda · 17/08, 01:30

Prediction: Colon FC vs La Luz

Team pages: Colon FC · La Luz

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Colon FC1.11
La Luz1.07
1X2
35% 31% 34%
Colon FC Draw La Luz
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Colon FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWDWDWWLLW
La Luz 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLLWDLWWLD
Head-to-head
Colon FC 4–2–0 La Luz (6 last)
  • La Luz0-0Colon FC
  • La Luz0-1Colon FC
  • Colon FC1-0La Luz
  • Colon FC1-1La Luz
  • Colon FC5-0La Luz
  • La Luz0-1Colon FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colon FC 1520 · La Luz 1487
Colon FCDrawLa Luz
Our model35%32%33%
Market36%31%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Colon FC: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Colon FCLa Luz
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.30.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.80.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.21.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.66.8 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colon FC 420 La Luz

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Uruguay Segunda
La Luz0-0
HT 0-0
Colon FC
10/08/25
Uruguay Segunda
La Luz0-1
HT 0-0
Colon FC
17/05/25
Uruguay Segunda
Colon FC1-0
HT 0-0
La Luz
13/04/25
Uruguay Segunda
Colon FC1-1
HT 0-0
La Luz
16/11/24
Uruguay Segunda
Colon FC5-0
HT 1-0
La Luz
27/07/24
Uruguay Segunda
La Luz0-1
HT 0-1
Colon FC

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentColon FCLa Luz
Cerrito 1-0 W 2-0 W
CA Atenas 1-4 L 0-4 L
Paysandu FC 2-3 L 1-2 L
Huracan DPA 2-0 W 1-1 D
CA River Plate 2-1 W 0-0 D
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1-1 D 0-0 D
Rentistas 2-0 W 2-5 L
Miramar Misiones 1-3 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Colon FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colon FC

LWDWDWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 47 W
03/08 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 1-4 65 L
25/07 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-3 73 L
11/07 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-0 37 W
06/07 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 67 W
28/06 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 74 D
20/06 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-1 63 W
13/06 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 35 D
07/06 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 510 W
31/05 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 1-3 58 L

La Luz

DLLWDLWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 57 D
01/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 2-5 912 L
27/07 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 59 W
13/07 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-0 36 W
04/07 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 910 L
28/06 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 23 D
21/06 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 111 W
14/06 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-4 72 L
06/06 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 35 L
31/05 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 39 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colon FC vs La Luz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Colon FC win (35%). Probabilities: Colon FC 35%, draw 31%, La Luz 34%.

How many goals are expected in Colon FC vs La Luz?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Colon FC 1.11 · La Luz 1.07), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Colon FC vs La Luz?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.