Prediction: Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs La Luz
Team pages: Atletico Fenix Montevideo · La Luz
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo0-0La Luz
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo0-2La Luz
- La Luz2-2Atletico Fenix Montevideo
- La Luz0-2Atletico Fenix Montevideo
- La Luz0-2Atletico Fenix Montevideo
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo0-2La Luz
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | Draw | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 31% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.8 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.5 | 6.8 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Fenix Montevideo 2–2–2 La Luz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Uruguay Segunda | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | La Luz |
| 27/09/25 Uruguay Segunda | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 0-2 HT 0-0 | La Luz |
| 06/07/25 Uruguay Segunda | La Luz | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo |
| 20/04/25 Uruguay Segunda | La Luz | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo |
| 07/12/23 Uruguay Clausura | La Luz | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo |
| 14/05/23 Uruguay Apertura | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 0-2 HT 0-0 | La Luz |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Huracan DPA | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 7 | Tacuarembo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | La Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Cerrito | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| CA Atenas | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Paysandu FC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Huracan DPA | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| CA River Plate | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Rentistas | 1-1 D | 2-5 L |
| Miramar Misiones | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Fenix Montevideo (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Fenix Montevideo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 26/07 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/07 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 11 | L |
| 20/06 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 25/05 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
La Luz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 2-5 | 9 | 12 | L |
| 27/07 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 13/07 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 28/06 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 14/06 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs La Luz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Fenix Montevideo win (46%). Probabilities: Atletico Fenix Montevideo 46%, draw 30%, La Luz 24%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs La Luz?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1.32 · La Luz 0.88), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs La Luz?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.