Football · Uruguay Segunda · 09/08, 15:00

Prediction: CA River Plate vs Huracan DPA

Team pages: CA River Plate · Huracan DPA

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
CA River Plate1.31
Huracan DPA1.33
1X2
35% 29% 36%
CA River Plate Draw Huracan DPA
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CA River Plate 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLLWLDWWDL
Huracan DPA 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LDDWWLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA River Plate 1502 · Huracan DPA 1442
CA River PlateDrawHuracan DPA
Our model35%29%36%
Market35%29%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA River Plate (rating 1502 vs 1442).
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA River PlateHuracan DPA
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.70.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.90.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)56/33/11%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 5.61.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.25.6 / 0.3

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA River PlateHuracan DPA
Tacuarembo 0-1 L 2-1 W
Uruguay Montevideo 1-1 D 1-3 L
Plaza Colonia 3-2 W 0-0 D
Club Oriental 2-1 W 0-1 L
La Luz 0-0 D 1-1 D
Colon FC 1-2 L 0-2 L
Cerrito 6-4 W 0-2 L
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1-3 L 0-2 L
Rentistas 2-1 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: CA River Plate (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA River Plate

WLLWLDWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 L
18/07 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 76 D
11/07 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 3-2 55 W
05/07 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-1 55 W
28/06 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 43 D
20/06 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-2 33 L
14/06 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
5-3 6-4 48 W
06/06 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-3 98 L
31/05 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 88 L
23/05 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 2-1 54 W

Huracan DPA

LDDWWLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 1-3 84 L
19/07 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 57 L
11/07 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-2 77 L
05/07 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 31 L
27/06 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 106 L
19/06 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 25 W
13/06 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 2-1 56 W
06/06 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 17 D
31/05 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 69 D
24/05 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-2 27 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA River Plate vs Huracan DPA?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Huracan DPA win (36%). Probabilities: CA River Plate 35%, draw 29%, Huracan DPA 36%.

How many goals are expected in CA River Plate vs Huracan DPA?

The model expects 2.64 goals (CA River Plate 1.31 · Huracan DPA 1.33), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CA River Plate vs Huracan DPA?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.