Football · Uruguay Segunda · 09/08, 18:00

Prediction: Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo

Team pages: Miramar Misiones · Tacuarembo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

Miramar Misiones1.12

Tacuarembo0.96

1X2

38% 31% 30%

Miramar Misiones Draw Tacuarembo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Miramar Misiones 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDWLWDLLL

Tacuarembo 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLDLLW

Head-to-head

Miramar Misiones 4–1–1 Tacuarembo (6 last)

Tacuarembo1-3Miramar Misiones
Miramar Misiones3-2Tacuarembo
Miramar Misiones4-2Tacuarembo
Miramar Misiones3-2Tacuarembo
Tacuarembo2-0Miramar Misiones
Miramar Misiones1-1Tacuarembo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miramar Misiones 1486 · Tacuarembo 1479

	Miramar Misiones	Draw	Tacuarembo
Our model	38%	33%	30%
Market	39%	30%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Miramar Misiones: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Miramar Misiones	Tacuarembo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	0.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.5	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.7 / 0.5	5.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.00

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.61 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:39 +1’	2.30	3.00	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:42	2.61	2.80	2.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Miramar Misiones 4–1–1 Tacuarembo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/10/23 Uruguay Segunda	Tacuarembo	1-3	Miramar Misiones
20/05/23 Uruguay Segunda	Miramar Misiones	3-2 HT 1-2	Tacuarembo
25/03/23 Uruguay Segunda	Miramar Misiones	4-2 HT 3-0	Tacuarembo
17/10/21 Uruguay Segunda B Nacional	Miramar Misiones	3-2 HT 1-1	Tacuarembo
27/10/18 Uruguay Segunda	Tacuarembo	2-0	Miramar Misiones
02/06/18 Uruguay Segunda	Miramar Misiones	1-1 HT 1-0	Tacuarembo

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Oriental	6	4	1	1	8	5	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9	2	12
3	Colon FC	6	2	3	1	8	5	9
4	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
5	Miramar Misiones	6	1	2	3	3	7	5
6	Paysandu FC	6	1	1	4	4	7	4
7	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6	13	4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Miramar Misiones	Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia	0-3 L	0-2 L
La Luz	0-1 L	0-2 L
Cerrito	0-1 L	0-0 D
CA Atenas	1-1 D	0-2 L
Paysandu FC	3-2 W	1-0 W
Huracan DPA	0-1 L	1-2 L
Uruguay Montevideo	3-1 W	1-0 W
Club Oriental	2-2 D	0-2 L
Colon FC	3-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Miramar Misiones (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miramar Misiones

DWDWLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-3	4	9	L
27/07	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-1	7	9	L
12/07	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
06/07	CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
28/06	Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda	0-1	3-2	4	8	W
19/06	Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
13/06	Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	2-0	3-1	2	8	W
08/06	Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda	1-1	2-2	7	8	D
31/05	Colon FC Uruguay Segunda	2-0	3-1	3	8	W
25/05	Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-1	2	7	D

Tacuarembo

WLWLWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda	–	1-0	–	–	W
25/07	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-2	8	5	L
13/07	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	0-2	0-2	2	6	L
05/07	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
27/06	CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda	0-2	0-2	3	6	L
20/06	Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-0	4	14	W
13/06	Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
07/06	Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
01/06	Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
24/05	Colon FC Uruguay Segunda	2-0	2-0	1	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Miramar Misiones win (38%). Probabilities: Miramar Misiones 38%, draw 31%, Tacuarembo 30%.

How many goals are expected in Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Miramar Misiones 1.12 · Tacuarembo 0.96), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.