Football · Uruguay Segunda · 09/08, 21:00

Prediction: Club Oriental vs CA Atenas

Team pages: Club Oriental · CA Atenas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Club Oriental1.49
CA Atenas1.24
1X2
42% 28% 30%
Club Oriental Draw CA Atenas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Club Oriental 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDWDDLDWLL
CA Atenas 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWWWDLLW
Head-to-head
Club Oriental 4–1–1 CA Atenas (6 last)
  • CA Atenas1-2Club Oriental
  • Club Oriental1-1CA Atenas
  • CA Atenas3-1Club Oriental
  • Club Oriental5-0CA Atenas
  • CA Atenas0-1Club Oriental
  • Club Oriental3-1CA Atenas
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Oriental 1489 · CA Atenas 1527
Club OrientalDrawCA Atenas
Our model42%28%30%
Market41%29%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Club Oriental: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Club OrientalCA Atenas
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.32 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.71 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 50.8 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.15.4 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Oriental 411 CA Atenas

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/08/25
Uruguay Segunda
CA Atenas1-2
HT 1-0
Club Oriental
31/05/25
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental1-1
HT 0-1
CA Atenas
09/11/24
Uruguay Segunda
CA Atenas3-1Club Oriental
21/07/24
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental5-0
HT 0-0
CA Atenas
03/09/23
Uruguay Segunda
CA Atenas0-1
HT 0-0
Club Oriental
13/05/23
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental3-1
HT 0-1
CA Atenas

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentClub OrientalCA Atenas
Paysandu FC 1-2 L 3-2 W
CA River Plate 1-2 L 2-0 W
Colon FC 1-1 D 4-1 W
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 2-2 D 0-1 L
Rentistas 3-0 W 1-3 L
Miramar Misiones 2-2 D 1-1 D
Tacuarembo 2-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 2 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CA Atenas (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Oriental

WDWDDLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/08 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 1-2 109 L
03/08 General Caballero ZC
Paraguay Primera C
0-2 1-3 65 L
19/07 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 67 W
12/07 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 14 D
05/07 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 75 L
28/06 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 54 D
20/06 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-2 53 D
14/06 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 3-0 44 W
08/06 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-2 28 D
01/06 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 45 W

CA Atenas

WWLWWWDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/08 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 4-1 15 W
26/07 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 35 L
12/07 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 1-3 611 L
06/07 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 53 D
27/06 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-0 36 W
21/06 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-1 46 W
14/06 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 4-0 02 W
07/06 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 26 L
31/05 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 28 W
23/05 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 3-2 36 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Oriental vs CA Atenas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Oriental win (42%). Probabilities: Club Oriental 42%, draw 28%, CA Atenas 30%.

How many goals are expected in Club Oriental vs CA Atenas?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Club Oriental 1.49 · CA Atenas 1.24), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Oriental vs CA Atenas?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.