Football · Colombia Primera B · 11/09, 00:00
Prediction: Patriotas FC vs Barranquilla FC
Team pages: Patriotas FC · Barranquilla FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Patriotas FC1.74
Barranquilla FC0.82
1X2
Patriotas FC
Draw
Barranquilla FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Patriotas FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Barranquilla FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Patriotas FC
3–2
Barranquilla FC
(5 last)
- Barranquilla FC2-0Patriotas FC
- Barranquilla FC3-1Patriotas FC
- Patriotas FC1-0Barranquilla FC
- Patriotas FC2-0Barranquilla FC
- Barranquilla FC1-2Patriotas FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patriotas FC 1482 · Barranquilla FC 1514
| Patriotas FC | Draw | Barranquilla FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 26% | 16% |
| Market | 58% | 25% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Patriotas FC: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Patriotas FC | Barranquilla FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5.8 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.6 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Patriotas FC 3–0–2 Barranquilla FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/26 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Patriotas FC |
| 27/07/25 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Patriotas FC |
| 17/02/25 Colombia Primera B | Patriotas FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Barranquilla FC |
| 04/09/23 Colombia Primera B | Patriotas FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Barranquilla FC |
| 20/03/23 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Patriotas FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Independiente Yumbo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Patriotas FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | Tigres FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Real San Andres | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 7 | Deportes Quindio | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Orsomarso | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Atletico Cali FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Barranquilla FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 11 | Itagui Leones | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 8 |
| 12 | Bogota FC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Envigado FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| 15 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Patriotas FC | Barranquilla FC |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Cali FC | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Orsomarso | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Real San Andres | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Real Cartagena | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Patriotas FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patriotas FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 31/07 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 14/04 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 01/04 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/03 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
Barranquilla FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/09 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 25/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 20/08 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/08 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 27/07 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 13/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patriotas FC vs Barranquilla FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Patriotas FC win (58%). Probabilities: Patriotas FC 58%, draw 25%, Barranquilla FC 17%.
How many goals are expected in Patriotas FC vs Barranquilla FC?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Patriotas FC 1.74 · Barranquilla FC 0.82), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Patriotas FC vs Barranquilla FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.