Football · Colombia Primera B · 19/09, 22:30
Prediction: Itagui Leones vs Boca Juniors De Cali
Team pages: Itagui Leones · Boca Juniors De Cali
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Itagui Leones1.3
Boca Juniors De Cali1.03
1X2
Itagui Leones
Draw
Boca Juniors De Cali
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Itagui Leones
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Boca Juniors De Cali
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Itagui Leones
0–4–2
Boca Juniors De Cali
(6 last)
- Boca Juniors De Cali2-1Itagui Leones
- Boca Juniors De Cali1-1Itagui Leones
- Itagui Leones1-1Boca Juniors De Cali
- Itagui Leones2-2Boca Juniors De Cali
- Boca Juniors De Cali1-0Itagui Leones
- Boca Juniors De Cali3-3Itagui Leones
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Itagui Leones 1473 · Boca Juniors De Cali 1493
| Itagui Leones | Draw | Boca Juniors De Cali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 28% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Boca Juniors De Cali: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Itagui Leones | Boca Juniors De Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.6 | 2.5 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Itagui Leones 0–4–2 Boca Juniors De Cali
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Itagui Leones |
| 14/07/25 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Itagui Leones |
| 03/02/25 Colombia Primera B | Itagui Leones | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 28/08/24 Colombia Primera B | Itagui Leones | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 11/03/24 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Itagui Leones |
| 31/10/23 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Itagui Leones |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Patriotas FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Tigres FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Atletico Cali FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | Real Cartagena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Deportes Quindio | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Real San Andres | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 9 | Itagui Leones | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 9 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Orsomarso | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| 12 | Barranquilla FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | Bogota FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 |
| 14 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 15 | Union Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 16 | Envigado FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Itagui Leones | Boca Juniors De Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Envigado FC | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Atletico Cali FC | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Independiente Yumbo | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Bogota FC | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportes Quindio | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Tigres FC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Real San Andres | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Boca Juniors De Cali (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Itagui Leones
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/09 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 12 | 9 | L |
| 28/08 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-4 | 1-6 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 06/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 04/08 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 18/04 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 13/04 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
Boca Juniors De Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 25/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 24/07 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Itagui Leones vs Boca Juniors De Cali?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Itagui Leones win (42%). Probabilities: Itagui Leones 42%, draw 29%, Boca Juniors De Cali 29%.
How many goals are expected in Itagui Leones vs Boca Juniors De Cali?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Itagui Leones 1.3 · Boca Juniors De Cali 1.03), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Itagui Leones vs Boca Juniors De Cali?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.