Football · Colombia Primera B · 14/09, 22:30
Prediction: Tigres FC vs Bogota FC
Team pages: Tigres FC · Bogota FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.86Total
Tigres FC1.14
Bogota FC0.72
1X2
Tigres FC
Draw
Bogota FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Tigres FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Bogota FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tigres FC
3–1–2
Bogota FC
(6 last)
- Bogota FC0-1Tigres FC
- Tigres FC1-1Bogota FC
- Bogota FC1-0Tigres FC
- Bogota FC1-2Tigres FC
- Tigres FC2-1Bogota FC
- Bogota FC3-2Tigres FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tigres FC 1507 · Bogota FC 1458
| Tigres FC | Draw | Bogota FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 34% | 22% |
| Market | 46% | 30% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.86 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres FC (rating 1507 vs 1458).
- H2H favours Tigres FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigres FC | Bogota FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 2.4 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.5 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres FC 3–1–2 Bogota FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 Colombia Primera B | Bogota FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tigres FC |
| 20/10/25 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Bogota FC |
| 06/09/25 Colombia Primera B | Bogota FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tigres FC |
| 11/05/25 Colombia Primera B | Bogota FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Tigres FC |
| 30/03/25 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bogota FC |
| 05/10/24 Colombia Primera B | Bogota FC | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Tigres FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Yumbo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Patriotas FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | Tigres FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Atletico Cali FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | Deportes Quindio | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Real San Andres | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 9 | Itagui Leones | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 9 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | Barranquilla FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 12 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 13 | Bogota FC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Envigado FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Magdalena | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tigres FC | Bogota FC |
|---|---|---|
| Real Cartagena | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Union Magdalena | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Boca Juniors De Cali | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Itagui Leones | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigres FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/08 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 19/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
Bogota FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 25/08 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 06/08 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 03/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 13/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres FC vs Bogota FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigres FC win (45%). Probabilities: Tigres FC 45%, draw 32%, Bogota FC 23%.
How many goals are expected in Tigres FC vs Bogota FC?
The model expects 1.86 goals (Tigres FC 1.14 · Bogota FC 0.72), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigres FC vs Bogota FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.