Football · Colombia Primera B · 15/09, 00:45
Prediction: Orsomarso vs Atletico Cali FC
Team pages: Orsomarso · Atletico Cali FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Orsomarso1.56
Atletico Cali FC0.77
1X2
Orsomarso
Draw
Atletico Cali FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Orsomarso
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Atletico Cali FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orsomarso
3–2–1
Atletico Cali FC
(6 last)
- Atletico Cali FC1-1Orsomarso
- Atletico Cali FC1-0Orsomarso
- Orsomarso0-0Atletico Cali FC
- Orsomarso1-0Atletico Cali FC
- Atletico Cali FC0-2Orsomarso
- Atletico Cali FC0-1Orsomarso
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orsomarso 1461 · Atletico Cali FC 1462
| Orsomarso | Draw | Atletico Cali FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 28% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 27% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Orsomarso: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orsomarso | Atletico Cali FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.2 | 1.3 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.4 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orsomarso 3–2–1 Atletico Cali FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Orsomarso |
| 30/08/25 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Orsomarso |
| 23/03/25 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Cali FC |
| 31/08/24 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Cali FC |
| 16/03/24 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Orsomarso |
| 29/07/23 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Orsomarso |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Yumbo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Patriotas FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | Tigres FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Atletico Cali FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | Deportes Quindio | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Real San Andres | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 9 | Itagui Leones | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 9 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | Barranquilla FC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 12 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 13 | Bogota FC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| 14 | Envigado FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | Union Magdalena | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orsomarso | Atletico Cali FC |
|---|---|---|
| Patriotas FC | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Union Magdalena | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Barranquilla FC | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Itagui Leones | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Bogota FC | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Quindio | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Orsomarso (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orsomarso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 9 | L |
| 25/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 20/08 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 01/08 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 27/07 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 13/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 31/03 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 12 | L |
| 27/03 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
Atletico Cali FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 29/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/08 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/08 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/07 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orsomarso vs Atletico Cali FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Orsomarso win (56%). Probabilities: Orsomarso 56%, draw 27%, Atletico Cali FC 17%.
How many goals are expected in Orsomarso vs Atletico Cali FC?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Orsomarso 1.56 · Atletico Cali FC 0.77), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Orsomarso vs Atletico Cali FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.