Football · Peru Liga 2 · 23/08, 22:15

Prediction: Union Comercio vs Carlos Manucci

Team pages: Union Comercio · Carlos Manucci

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Union Comercio1.39
Carlos Manucci0.62
1X2
56% 27% 17%
Union Comercio Draw Carlos Manucci
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Union Comercio 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWLDDWWDWW
Carlos Manucci 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDLDWWWLWL
Head-to-head
Union Comercio 0–4–2 Carlos Manucci (6 last)
  • Carlos Manucci0-0Union Comercio
  • Carlos Manucci0-0Union Comercio
  • Union Comercio2-2Carlos Manucci
  • Union Comercio0-0Carlos Manucci
  • Carlos Manucci2-0Union Comercio
  • Carlos Manucci2-1Union Comercio
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Comercio 1543 · Carlos Manucci 1517
Union ComercioDrawCarlos Manucci
Our model55%30%15%
Market57%25%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Carlos Manucci: 2-4-0.
  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Union ComercioCarlos Manucci
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.31 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.10.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.32.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.35 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Comercio 042 Carlos Manucci

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Peru Liga 2
Carlos Manucci0-0
HT 0-0
Union Comercio
21/07/24
Peru Liga 1
Carlos Manucci0-0
HT 0-0
Union Comercio
03/02/24
Peru Liga 1
Union Comercio2-2
HT 0-0
Carlos Manucci
20/09/23
Peru Liga 1
Union Comercio0-0
HT 0-0
Carlos Manucci
01/05/23
Peru Liga 1
Carlos Manucci2-0
HT 0-0
Union Comercio
15/09/19
Peru Liga 1
Carlos Manucci2-1
HT 2-1
Union Comercio

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Union Comercio 10631 11321
2 Deportivo Llacuabamba 10622 14420
3 CD Universidad San Martin 12525 191417
4 Pirata FC 11524 161517
5 Carlos Manucci 11524 101017
6 Cesar Vallejo 11344 91013
7 Club Ada Jaen 12264 91212
8 Academia Deportiva Cantolao 10037 5223

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnion ComercioCarlos Manucci
Pirata FC 2-1 W 1-0 W
Academia Deportiva Cantolao 4-0 W 4-1 W
Cesar Vallejo 0-0 D 0-1 L
Club Ada Jaen 1-0 W 2-0 W
CD Universidad San Martin 1-0 W 0-2 L
Deportivo Llacuabamba 0-0 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 0 L 4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Union Comercio (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Comercio

WWLDDWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/08 Pirata FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-1 36 W
07/08 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Liga 2
2-0 4-0 52 W
25/07 Cesar Vallejo
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 55 D
31/05 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 101 W
23/05 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 67 W
17/05 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 1412 D
09/05 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 85 D
03/05 Pirata FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 1-2 67 L
26/04 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-0 26 W
05/04 Cesar Vallejo
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 42 W

Carlos Manucci

WDLDWWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Cesar Vallejo
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 47 L
02/08 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-0 68 W
25/07 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-2 32 L
19/07 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 78 W
24/05 Pirata FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 73 W
17/05 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Peru Liga 2
0-0 4-1 95 W
09/05 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 75 D
02/05 Cesar Vallejo
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-2 54 L
18/04 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 64 D
05/04 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
2-0 2-1 27 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Comercio vs Carlos Manucci?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Comercio win (56%). Probabilities: Union Comercio 56%, draw 27%, Carlos Manucci 17%.

How many goals are expected in Union Comercio vs Carlos Manucci?

The model expects 2.01 goals (Union Comercio 1.39 · Carlos Manucci 0.62), with a 59% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Comercio vs Carlos Manucci?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.