Football · Peru Liga 2 · 23/08, 20:00
Prediction: Cesar Vallejo vs Deportivo Llacuabamba
Team pages: Cesar Vallejo · Deportivo Llacuabamba
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
Cesar Vallejo1.01
Deportivo Llacuabamba0.81
1X2
Cesar Vallejo
Draw
Deportivo Llacuabamba
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Cesar Vallejo
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Llacuabamba
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cesar Vallejo
3–1–1
Deportivo Llacuabamba
(5 last)
- Deportivo Llacuabamba2-0Cesar Vallejo
- Deportivo Llacuabamba0-0Cesar Vallejo
- Cesar Vallejo4-1Deportivo Llacuabamba
- Cesar Vallejo2-0Deportivo Llacuabamba
- Deportivo Llacuabamba2-3Cesar Vallejo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cesar Vallejo 1473 · Deportivo Llacuabamba 1543
| Cesar Vallejo | Draw | Deportivo Llacuabamba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 35% | 27% |
| Market | 41% | 30% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Llacuabamba (rating 1473 vs 1543).
- H2H favours Cesar Vallejo: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cesar Vallejo | Deportivo Llacuabamba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.6 | 1.7 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 5.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cesar Vallejo 3–1–1 Deportivo Llacuabamba
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Peru Liga 2 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cesar Vallejo |
| 29/06/25 Peru Liga 2 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cesar Vallejo |
| 11/05/25 Peru Liga 2 | Cesar Vallejo | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Deportivo Llacuabamba |
| 30/10/20 Peru Liga 1 | Cesar Vallejo | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Llacuabamba |
| 19/10/20 Peru Liga 1 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Cesar Vallejo |
Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 21 |
| 2 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
| 3 | CD Universidad San Martin | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Pirata FC | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | Carlos Manucci | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Cesar Vallejo | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Ada Jaen | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cesar Vallejo | Deportivo Llacuabamba |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Manucci | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Pirata FC | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Union Comercio | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Club Ada Jaen | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| CD Universidad San Martin | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cesar Vallejo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/05 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Deportivo Llacuabamba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 01/06 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 12 | D |
| 09/05 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 29/03 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cesar Vallejo vs Deportivo Llacuabamba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cesar Vallejo win (39%). Probabilities: Cesar Vallejo 39%, draw 32%, Deportivo Llacuabamba 29%.
How many goals are expected in Cesar Vallejo vs Deportivo Llacuabamba?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Cesar Vallejo 1.01 · Deportivo Llacuabamba 0.81), with a 60% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cesar Vallejo vs Deportivo Llacuabamba?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.