Football · Argentina Championship Women · 08/08, 20:00

Prediction: Lanus (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)

Team pages: Lanus (W) · Gimnasia LP (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.27Total

Lanus (W)1.01

Gimnasia LP (W)1.27

1X2

29% 30% 41%

Lanus (W) Draw Gimnasia LP (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Lanus (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDWLLDWW

Gimnasia LP (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDDWLWWLL

Head-to-head

Lanus (W) 1–2–3 Gimnasia LP (W) (6 last)

Gimnasia LP (W)3-0Lanus (W)
Lanus (W)1-1Gimnasia LP (W)
Gimnasia LP (W)4-2Lanus (W)
Lanus (W)1-0Gimnasia LP (W)
Gimnasia LP (W)4-0Lanus (W)
Lanus (W)3-3Gimnasia LP (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lanus (W) 1511 · Gimnasia LP (W) 1502

	Lanus (W)	Draw	Gimnasia LP (W)
Our model	28%	31%	41%
Market	29%	30%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gimnasia LP (W): 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lanus (W)	Gimnasia LP (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.5	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.2	1.7 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.00

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
X	3.10 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.33 ★
2	1.90 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.26

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:23 +31’	3.60	3.10	1.90
02:49 +1’	3.10▼	3.00▼	2.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:49 +1’	2.89	3.21	2.20
04:17	2.95▲	3.28▲	2.23▲
18:26 +17’	2.99▲	3.33▲	2.26▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanus (W) 1–2–3 Gimnasia LP (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/03/26 Argentina Championship Women	Gimnasia LP (W)	3-0 HT 0-0	Lanus (W)
25/11/23 Argentina Championship Women	Lanus (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Gimnasia LP (W)
20/03/23 Argentina Championship Women	Gimnasia LP (W)	4-2 HT 2-0	Lanus (W)
05/03/22 Argentina Championship Women	Lanus (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Gimnasia LP (W)
14/08/21 Argentina Championship Women	Gimnasia LP (W)	4-0 HT 1-0	Lanus (W)
27/03/21 Argentina Championship Women	Lanus (W)	3-3 HT 2-0	Gimnasia LP (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Luis FC (W)	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Union Santa Fe (W)	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
3	Boca Juniors (W)	3	2	0	1	5	3	6
4	Lanus (W)	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
5	San Lorenzo (W)	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
6	Social Atletico Television (W)	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
8	Banfield (W)	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
9	Belgrano (W)	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
10	Racing Club (W)	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
11	River Plate (W)	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
12	Huracan (W)	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
13	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	Gimnasia LP (W)	3	0	0	3	1	5	0
15	CA Independiente Women	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
16	Newell's Old Boys (W)	3	0	0	3	1	7	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lanus (W)	Gimnasia LP (W)
Newell's Old Boys (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Social Atletico Television (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
San Luis FC (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Union Santa Fe (W)	1-0 W	0-2 L
CA Independiente Women	0-1 L	2-0 W
Huracan (W)	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lanus (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lanus (W)

DLWDWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
22/07	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
12/07	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
08/07	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
05/07	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
27/06	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	2-0	7	1	W
20/06	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
13/06	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
23/05	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
15/05	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	1	0	D

Gimnasia LP (W)

LWDDWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
27/07	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
17/07	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
13/07	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	2-1	3	3	W
08/07	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
04/07	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	4-2	1	7	W
27/06	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	2-2	3	5	D
19/06	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
14/06	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
23/05	Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-2	1-4	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lanus (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gimnasia LP (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Lanus (W) 29%, draw 30%, Gimnasia LP (W) 41%.

How many goals are expected in Lanus (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Lanus (W) 1.01 · Gimnasia LP (W) 1.27), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lanus (W) vs Gimnasia LP (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.