Football · Argentina Championship Women · 16/08, 18:00
Prediction: Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Team pages: Newell's Old Boys (W) · Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Newell's Old Boys (W)1.05
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)1.25
1X2
Newell's Old Boys (W)
Draw
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Newell's Old Boys (W)
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Newell's Old Boys (W)
2–1–2
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
(5 last)
- Ferro Carril Oeste (W)1-0Newell's Old Boys (W)
- Ferro Carril Oeste (W)0-0Newell's Old Boys (W)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)0-2Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)1-0Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
- Ferro Carril Oeste (W)0-1Newell's Old Boys (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1403 · Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 1514
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | Draw | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 31% | 40% |
| Market | 30% | 31% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferro Carril Oeste (W) (rating 1403 vs 1514).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/67/33% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.8 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Newell's Old Boys (W) 2–1–2 Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Championship Women | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 15/08/25 Argentina Championship Women | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 16/03/25 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) |
| 22/09/24 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) |
| 04/05/24 Argentina Championship Women | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgrano (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Banfield (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | San Luis FC (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | River Plate (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Lanus (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Huracan (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Racing Club (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | CA Independiente Women | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Newell's Old Boys (W) | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors (W) | 0-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Lanus (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| San Luis FC (W) | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| CA Independiente Women | 0-1 L | 6-1 W |
| Huracan (W) | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ferro Carril Oeste (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newell's Old Boys (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/06 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 27/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/07 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/07 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferro Carril Oeste (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Newell's Old Boys (W) 30%, draw 31%, Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 40%.
How many goals are expected in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Newell's Old Boys (W) 1.05 · Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Newell's Old Boys (W) vs Ferro Carril Oeste (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.