Football · Argentina Championship Women · 16/08, 20:00
Prediction: Banfield (W) vs Lanus (W)
Team pages: Banfield (W) · Lanus (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Banfield (W)1.45
Lanus (W)0.67
1X2
Banfield (W)
Draw
Lanus (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Banfield (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Lanus (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Banfield (W)
2–1–0
Lanus (W)
(3 last)
- Lanus (W)0-2Banfield (W)
- Banfield (W)0-0Lanus (W)
- Lanus (W)0-3Banfield (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banfield (W) 1504 · Lanus (W) 1517
| Banfield (W) | Draw | Lanus (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 29% | 16% |
| Market | 56% | 27% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Banfield (W): 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banfield (W) | Lanus (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.1 | 1.8 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banfield (W) 2–1–0 Lanus (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Argentina Championship Women | Lanus (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Banfield (W) |
| 16/09/23 Argentina Championship Women | Banfield (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lanus (W) |
| 26/06/23 Argentina Championship Women | Lanus (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Banfield (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgrano (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Banfield (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | San Luis FC (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | River Plate (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Lanus (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Huracan (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Racing Club (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | CA Independiente Women | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banfield (W) | Lanus (W) |
|---|---|---|
| San Luis FC (W) | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| CA Independiente Women | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Gimnasia LP (W) | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banfield (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/07 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
Lanus (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 08/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banfield (W) vs Lanus (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Banfield (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Banfield (W) 55%, draw 28%, Lanus (W) 17%.
How many goals are expected in Banfield (W) vs Lanus (W)?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Banfield (W) 1.45 · Lanus (W) 0.67), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Banfield (W) vs Lanus (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.