Football · Argentina Championship Women · 17/08, 16:00
Prediction: Social Atletico Television (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)
Team pages: Social Atletico Television (W) · San Lorenzo (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Social Atletico Television (W)0.84
San Lorenzo (W)1.3
1X2
Social Atletico Television (W)
Draw
San Lorenzo (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Social Atletico Television (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
San Lorenzo (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Social Atletico Television (W)
0–1–5
San Lorenzo (W)
(6 last)
- San Lorenzo (W)3-1Social Atletico Television (W)
- Social Atletico Television (W)1-2San Lorenzo (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)2-1Social Atletico Television (W)
- Social Atletico Television (W)0-1San Lorenzo (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)2-1Social Atletico Television (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)1-1Social Atletico Television (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Social Atletico Television (W) 1480 · San Lorenzo (W) 1556
| Social Atletico Television (W) | Draw | San Lorenzo (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 31% | 46% |
| Market | 24% | 29% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Lorenzo (W) (rating 1480 vs 1556).
- H2H favours San Lorenzo (W): 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Social Atletico Television (W) | San Lorenzo (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.8 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Social Atletico Television (W) 0–1–5 San Lorenzo (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
| 08/05/25 Argentina Championship Women | Social Atletico Television (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 13/10/24 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
| 25/05/24 Argentina Championship Women | Social Atletico Television (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 26/11/23 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
| 01/06/23 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | River Plate (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Banfield (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Belgrano (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Lanus (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Huracan (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | San Luis FC (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Racing Club (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 | CA Independiente Women | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Social Atletico Television (W) | San Lorenzo (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Huracan (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Belgrano (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| River Plate (W) | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Boca Juniors (W) | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Lanus (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| San Luis FC (W) | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: San Lorenzo (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Social Atletico Television (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 13/07 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 05/07 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 27/06 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
San Lorenzo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 27/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 29/06 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Social Atletico Television (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an San Lorenzo (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Social Atletico Television (W) 23%, draw 30%, San Lorenzo (W) 47%.
How many goals are expected in Social Atletico Television (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)?
The model expects 2.14 goals (Social Atletico Television (W) 0.84 · San Lorenzo (W) 1.3), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Social Atletico Television (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.