Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 07/08, 21:15

Prediction: Valur Reykjavik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

Team pages: Valur Reykjavik (W) · Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Valur Reykjavik (W)1.48

Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1.7

1X2

33% 25% 42%

Valur Reykjavik (W) Draw Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Valur Reykjavik (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLDDDLLL

Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDLLLD

Head-to-head

Valur Reykjavik (W) 2–1–3 Vikingur Reykjavik (W) (6 last)

Vikingur Reykjavik (W)0-1Valur Reykjavik (W)
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1-0Valur Reykjavik (W)
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)3-0Valur Reykjavik (W)
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)3-2Valur Reykjavik (W)
Valur Reykjavik (W)1-1Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1-2Valur Reykjavik (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valur Reykjavik (W) 1423 · Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1442

	Valur Reykjavik (W)	Draw	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Our model	33%	25%	42%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vikingur Reykjavik (W): 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Valur Reykjavik (W)	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.9	1.4 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.3	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.8	2.7 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.70

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:34	2.70	3.70	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Valur Reykjavik (W) 2–1–3 Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Valur Reykjavik (W)
21/02/26 Iceland Cup Women	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Valur Reykjavik (W)
30/09/25 Iceland Premier League Women	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Valur Reykjavik (W)
04/09/25 Iceland Premier League Women	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	3-2 HT 2-0	Valur Reykjavik (W)
23/05/25 Iceland Premier League Women	Valur Reykjavik (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
28/09/24 Iceland Premier League Women	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	Valur Reykjavik (W)

Standings · Iceland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	13	9	3	1	46	21	30
2	Breidablik (W)	13	10	0	3	40	16	30
3	Stjarnan (W)	13	6	4	3	23	18	22
4	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	13	6	3	4	21	22	21
5	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	13	4	4	5	16	23	16
6	Fram Reykjavik (W)	13	5	1	7	18	27	16
7	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	13	4	2	7	17	22	14
8	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	13	3	3	7	18	25	12
9	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	13	3	2	8	21	33	11
10	Valur Reykjavik (W)	13	2	4	7	12	25	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Valur Reykjavik (W)	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Fram Reykjavik (W)	1-4 L	1-2 L
Breidablik (W)	1-7 L	1-4 L
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	1-2 L	1-3 L
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	1-1 D	2-5 L
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	0-0 D	6-4 W
Throttur Reykjavik (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 5 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Vikingur Reykjavik (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Valur Reykjavik (W)

LDWLDDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-4	8	6	L
21/07	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-6	1-7	3	2	L
15/07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-2	1-2	7	0	L
10/07	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
23/06	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
13/06	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
29/05	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
25/05	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
20/05	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
15/05	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Cup Women	0-1	2-3	6	3	L

Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

LLWLLDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
19/07	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-2	10	1	L
15/07	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	1-4	5	0	L
09/07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-2	1-3	8	0	L
23/06	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
18/06	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
13/06	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-2	2-5	4	0	L
30/05	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	4-0	6-4	10	2	W
25/05	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
20/05	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-1	1-4	3	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valur Reykjavik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vikingur Reykjavik (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Valur Reykjavik (W) 33%, draw 25%, Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 42%.

How many goals are expected in Valur Reykjavik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Valur Reykjavik (W) 1.48 · Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1.7), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Valur Reykjavik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.