Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 14/08, 20:00

Prediction: Vikingur Reykjavik (W) vs Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

Team pages: Vikingur Reykjavik (W) · Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1.76

Thor/KA Akureyri (W)1.77

1X2

38% 24% 38%

Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Draw Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLLLDL

Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWLWLW

Head-to-head

Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 3–3 Thor/KA Akureyri (W) (6 last)

Thor/KA Akureyri (W)4-6Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)4-1Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1-4Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)0-1Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)0-2Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1-2Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1426 · Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 1492

	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	Draw	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
Our model	38%	24%	38%
Market	38%	24%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thor/KA Akureyri (W) (rating 1426 vs 1492).
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.3	1.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.4	2.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.1 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.75

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
01:17 +1’	2.38	3.75	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 3–0–3 Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	4-6 HT 0-4	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
21/06/25 Iceland Premier League Women	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	4-1 HT 1-1	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
16/04/25 Iceland Premier League Women	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	1-4 HT 0-2	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
05/10/24 Iceland Premier League Women	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
19/07/24 Iceland Premier League Women	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
09/05/24 Iceland Premier League Women	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	1-2 HT 1-2	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

Standings · Iceland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	13	9	3	1	46	21	30
2	Breidablik (W)	13	10	0	3	40	16	30
3	Stjarnan (W)	14	6	5	3	24	19	23
4	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	14	6	3	5	23	26	21
5	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	14	5	4	5	20	25	19
6	Fram Reykjavik (W)	14	5	1	8	18	29	16
7	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	14	4	3	7	20	25	15
8	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	14	4	3	7	18	23	15
9	Valur Reykjavik (W)	14	3	4	7	13	25	13
10	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	14	3	2	9	21	34	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)
Valur Reykjavik (W)	0-1 L	0-0 D
Throttur Reykjavik (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Fram Reykjavik (W)	1-2 L	2-0 W
Breidablik (W)	1-4 L	0-2 L
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	1-3 L	2-1 W
Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Thor/KA Akureyri (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
28/07	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
19/07	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-2	10	1	L
15/07	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	1-4	5	0	L
09/07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-2	1-3	8	0	L
23/06	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
18/06	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
13/06	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-2	2-5	4	0	L
30/05	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	4-0	6-4	10	2	W
25/05	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	7	2	L

Thor/KA Akureyri (W)

LLLDWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
29/07	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
19/07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
14/07	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-1	2-3	4	1	L
09/07	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
22/06	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-0	2-0	8	1	W
13/06	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
30/05	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-4	4-6	6	2	L
25/05	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-2	2-3	6	3	L
20/05	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	1-3	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vikingur Reykjavik (W) vs Thor/KA Akureyri (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vikingur Reykjavik (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 38%, draw 24%, Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 38%.

How many goals are expected in Vikingur Reykjavik (W) vs Thor/KA Akureyri (W)?

The model expects 3.54 goals (Vikingur Reykjavik (W) 1.76 · Thor/KA Akureyri (W) 1.77), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vikingur Reykjavik (W) vs Thor/KA Akureyri (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.