Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 12/08, 21:15

Prediction: Breidablik (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Team pages: Breidablik (W) · Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.15Total

Breidablik (W)2.83

Grindavik/Njardvik (W)1.32

1X2

68% 18% 14%

Breidablik (W) Draw Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Breidablik (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWWWDD

Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDLLWWDW

Head-to-head

Breidablik (W) 1–0 Grindavik/Njardvik (W) (1 last)

Grindavik/Njardvik (W)0-5Breidablik (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Breidablik (W) 1540 · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1514

	Breidablik (W)	Draw	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Our model	68%	17%	15%
Market	67%	18%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 4.15 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Breidablik (W)	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.4	1.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 7.3	2.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.36

X5.00

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.48▲	Bet365 1.48
X	7.00 → 4.50▼	Pinn 5.61 ★
2	12.00 → 5.25▼	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 8.8% Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:07 +5’	1.14	7.00	12.00
13:15 +2’	1.36▲	5.00▼	6.50▼
15:09 +4’	1.48▲	4.50▼	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:16 +1’	1.31	6.55	5.69
15:13	1.40▲	5.61▼	4.44▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Breidablik (W) 1–0–0 Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	0-5 HT 0-2	Breidablik (W)

Standings · Iceland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	13	9	3	1	46	21	30
2	Breidablik (W)	13	10	0	3	40	16	30
3	Stjarnan (W)	14	6	5	3	24	19	23
4	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	14	6	3	5	23	26	21
5	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	14	5	4	5	20	25	19
6	Fram Reykjavik (W)	14	5	1	8	18	29	16
7	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	14	4	3	7	20	25	15
8	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	14	4	3	7	18	23	15
9	Valur Reykjavik (W)	14	3	4	7	13	25	13
10	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	14	3	2	9	21	34	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Breidablik (W)	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	2-0 W	0-1 L
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	4-1 W	1-1 D
Fram Reykjavik (W)	2-3 L	3-0 W
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	3-0 W	4-2 W
Stjarnan (W)	1-3 L	0-0 D
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	2-3 L	1-6 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Breidablik (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Breidablik (W)

LWLWLWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Dinamo-BGU (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying	0-1	2-2	9	5	D
04/08	FK Aktobe (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying	1-1	1-1	8	5	D
29/07	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	7	1	W
21/07	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	6-0	7-1	7	2	W
15/07	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	4-1	10	0	W
09/07	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-1	2-3	10	1	L
22/06	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	3-0	3-0	7	1	W
13/06	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-3	7	2	L
30/05	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-0	5-0	0	1	W
25/05	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-1	2-3	8	3	L

Grindavik/Njardvik (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	4-1	4-2	2	4	W
28/07	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
25/07	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
20/07	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-1	4-2	3	5	W
16/07	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-2	1-6	3	1	L
09/07	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
23/06	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	10	0	D
18/06	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Cup Women	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
13/06	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
30/05	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-2	0-5	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Breidablik (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Breidablik (W) win (68%). Probabilities: Breidablik (W) 68%, draw 18%, Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in Breidablik (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)?

The model expects 4.15 goals (Breidablik (W) 2.83 · Grindavik/Njardvik (W) 1.32), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Breidablik (W) vs Grindavik/Njardvik (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.