Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 15/08, 19:00
Prediction: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Breidablik (W)
Team pages: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) · Breidablik (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.33Total
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)2.2
Breidablik (W)2.13
1X2
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Draw
Breidablik (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-2
Recent form · 10 last
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Breidablik (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
2–2–2
Breidablik (W)
(6 last)
- Breidablik (W)2-3FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
- Breidablik (W)0-0FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
- Breidablik (W)3-2FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
- Breidablik (W)2-1FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
- FH Hafnarfjordur (W)2-2Breidablik (W)
- FH Hafnarfjordur (W)2-1Breidablik (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 1590 · Breidablik (W) 1568
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | Draw | Breidablik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 21% | 38% |
| Market | 40% | 23% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 15.2 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | Breidablik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.5 / 2.2 | 2.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 8.1 | 3.7 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 2–2–2 Breidablik (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Breidablik (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
| 02/04/26 Iceland Super Cup Women | Breidablik (W) | 0-0 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
| 18/10/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Breidablik (W) | 3-2 HT 1-1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
| 04/09/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Breidablik (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
| 16/08/25 Iceland Cup Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Breidablik (W) |
| 23/05/25 Iceland Premier League Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Breidablik (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 52 | 25 | 33 |
| 2 | Breidablik (W) | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 41 | 16 | 33 |
| 3 | Stjarnan (W) | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 23 |
| 4 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 21 |
| 5 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 26 | 19 |
| 6 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 18 |
| 7 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
| 8 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 15 |
| 9 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 13 |
| 10 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 34 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | Breidablik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 6-4 W | 2-3 L |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Stjarnan (W) | 7-3 W | 1-3 L |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 6-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1-1 D | 7-1 W |
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 5-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 6-4 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/07 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
4-1 | 7-3 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 16/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 09/07 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
3-2 | 7-3 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 19 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 6-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/05 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
Breidablik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | Dinamo-BGU (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 04/08 | FK Aktobe (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 29/07 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
6-0 | 7-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 09/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 22/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Breidablik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FH Hafnarfjordur (W) win (40%). Probabilities: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 40%, draw 22%, Breidablik (W) 38%.
How many goals are expected in FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Breidablik (W)?
The model expects 4.33 goals (FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 2.2 · Breidablik (W) 2.13), with a 55% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FH Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Breidablik (W)?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.