Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 12/08, 21:15
Prediction: Fram Reykjavik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Team pages: Fram Reykjavik (W) · FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.24Total
Fram Reykjavik (W)1.15
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)3.09
1X2
Fram Reykjavik (W)
Draw
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Fram Reykjavik (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fram Reykjavik (W)
0–3
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
(3 last)
- FH Hafnarfjordur (W)6-2Fram Reykjavik (W)
- FH Hafnarfjordur (W)3-1Fram Reykjavik (W)
- Fram Reykjavik (W)0-2FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fram Reykjavik (W) 1500 · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 1595
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | Draw | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 75% |
| Market | 11% | 14% | 75% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (rating 1500 vs 1595).
- H2H favours FH Hafnarfjordur (W): 3-0-0.
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.1 | 4.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.6 | 3.5 / 7.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fram Reykjavik (W) 0–0–3 FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 6-2 HT 1-2 | Fram Reykjavik (W) |
| 25/07/25 Iceland Premier League Women | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Fram Reykjavik (W) |
| 22/04/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 46 | 21 | 30 |
| 2 | Breidablik (W) | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 16 | 30 |
| 3 | Stjarnan (W) | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 23 |
| 4 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 21 |
| 5 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 25 | 19 |
| 6 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 29 | 16 |
| 7 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 15 |
| 8 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 15 |
| 9 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 13 |
| 10 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 34 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fram Reykjavik (W) | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 0-3 L | 6-1 W |
| Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 2-1 W | 5-2 W |
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 1-0 W | 7-3 W |
| Breidablik (W) | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Stjarnan (W) | 0-3 L | 7-3 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FH Hafnarfjordur (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fram Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/07 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 22/06 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland Cup Women |
5-0 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/07 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
4-1 | 7-3 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 16/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 09/07 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
3-2 | 7-3 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 19 | 0 | D |
| 13/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 5-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 6-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 25/05 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fram Reykjavik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FH Hafnarfjordur (W) win (75%). Probabilities: Fram Reykjavik (W) 11%, draw 14%, FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 75%.
How many goals are expected in Fram Reykjavik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)?
The model expects 4.24 goals (Fram Reykjavik (W) 1.15 · FH Hafnarfjordur (W) 3.09), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Fram Reykjavik (W) vs FH Hafnarfjordur (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.