Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 12/08, 21:15

Prediction: Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)

Team pages: Throttur Reykjavik (W) · Valur Reykjavik (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Throttur Reykjavik (W)1.52

Valur Reykjavik (W)1.05

1X2

48% 27% 26%

Throttur Reykjavik (W) Draw Valur Reykjavik (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Throttur Reykjavik (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLLWDD

Valur Reykjavik (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWLDDDLLLW

Head-to-head

Throttur Reykjavik (W) 3–1–2 Valur Reykjavik (W) (6 last)

Valur Reykjavik (W)0-1Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Valur Reykjavik (W)1-1Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Throttur Reykjavik (W)1-0Valur Reykjavik (W)
Throttur Reykjavik (W)0-2Valur Reykjavik (W)
Valur Reykjavik (W)2-1Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Valur Reykjavik (W)1-3Throttur Reykjavik (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 1477 · Valur Reykjavik (W) 1465

	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	Draw	Valur Reykjavik (W)
Our model	47%	28%	25%
Market	48%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Throttur Reykjavik (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	Valur Reykjavik (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.6	0.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.6	1.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.50

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 2.10▲	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
2	3.40 → 2.88▼	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 17.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:15 +2’	1.85	3.50	3.40
14:15 +4’	2.10▲	3.40▼	2.88▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:19	2.40	3.48	2.58
15:13	1.95▼	3.27▼	2.83▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 3–1–2 Valur Reykjavik (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women	Valur Reykjavik (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Throttur Reykjavik (W)
27/01/26 Iceland Cup Women	Valur Reykjavik (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Throttur Reykjavik (W)
18/10/25 Iceland Premier League Women	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Valur Reykjavik (W)
20/08/25 Iceland Premier League Women	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Valur Reykjavik (W)
11/06/25 Iceland Cup Women	Valur Reykjavik (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Throttur Reykjavik (W)
08/05/25 Iceland Premier League Women	Valur Reykjavik (W)	1-3 HT 1-1	Throttur Reykjavik (W)

Standings · Iceland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	13	9	3	1	46	21	30
2	Breidablik (W)	13	10	0	3	40	16	30
3	Stjarnan (W)	14	6	5	3	24	19	23
4	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	14	6	3	5	23	26	21
5	Grindavik/Njardvik (W)	14	5	4	5	20	25	19
6	Fram Reykjavik (W)	14	5	1	8	18	29	16
7	Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	14	4	3	7	20	25	15
8	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	14	4	3	7	18	23	15
9	Valur Reykjavik (W)	14	3	4	7	13	25	13
10	Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	14	3	2	9	21	34	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Throttur Reykjavik (W)	Valur Reykjavik (W)
Stjarnan (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	1-0 W	1-2 L
Fram Reykjavik (W)	0-1 L	1-4 L
FH Hafnarfjordur (W)	3-7 L	1-1 D
Thor/KA Akureyri (W)	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Valur Reykjavik (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Throttur Reykjavik (W)

WDWLLLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	12	1	D
28/07	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
24/07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Cup Women	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
20/07	Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-1	2-4	4	5	L
14/07	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
09/07	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women	2-3	3-7	1	1	L
22/06	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-2	0-2	7	1	L
18/06	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
13/06	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	7	0	D
29/05	Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	4	2	W

Valur Reykjavik (W)

DWLDDDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	0	2	W
29/07	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-4	8	6	L
21/07	Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-6	1-7	3	2	L
15/07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-2	1-2	7	0	L
10/07	Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
23/06	FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
13/06	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
29/05	Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
25/05	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
20/05	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women	0-0	0-0	4	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Throttur Reykjavik (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Throttur Reykjavik (W) 48%, draw 27%, Valur Reykjavik (W) 26%.

How many goals are expected in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Throttur Reykjavik (W) 1.52 · Valur Reykjavik (W) 1.05), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.