Football · Argentina Championship Women · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Boca Juniors (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)
Team pages: Boca Juniors (W) · Newell's Old Boys (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Boca Juniors (W)1.91
Newell's Old Boys (W)0.54
1X2
Boca Juniors (W)
Draw
Newell's Old Boys (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Boca Juniors (W)
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Newell's Old Boys (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boca Juniors (W)
3–1–1
Newell's Old Boys (W)
(5 last)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)1-2Boca Juniors (W)
- Boca Juniors (W)3-1Newell's Old Boys (W)
- Boca Juniors (W)0-1Newell's Old Boys (W)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)0-0Boca Juniors (W)
- Boca Juniors (W)2-1Newell's Old Boys (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boca Juniors (W) 1569 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1397
| Boca Juniors (W) | Draw | Newell's Old Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 22% | 9% |
| Market | 71% | 19% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boca Juniors (W) (rating 1569 vs 1397).
- H2H favours Boca Juniors (W): 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boca Juniors (W) | Newell's Old Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 0/78/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.2 | 1.1 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Juniors (W) 3–1–1 Newell's Old Boys (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Boca Juniors (W) |
| 31/08/25 Argentina Championship Women | Boca Juniors (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 01/02/25 Argentina Championship Women | Boca Juniors (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 08/09/24 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors (W) |
| 20/04/24 Argentina Championship Women | Boca Juniors (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis FC (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Lanus (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Banfield (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Belgrano (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Racing Club (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | River Plate (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Huracan (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | CA Independiente Women | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boca Juniors (W) | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Lanus (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| San Luis FC (W) | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| CA Independiente Women | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Huracan (W) | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Boca Juniors (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boca Juniors (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 13/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 08/07 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 15/06 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
Newell's Old Boys (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/06 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boca Juniors (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boca Juniors (W) win (70%). Probabilities: Boca Juniors (W) 70%, draw 20%, Newell's Old Boys (W) 9%.
How many goals are expected in Boca Juniors (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Boca Juniors (W) 1.91 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 0.54), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Boca Juniors (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.