Football · Argentina Championship Women · 09/08, 14:30

Prediction: Ferro Carril Oeste (W) vs Racing Club (W)

Team pages: Ferro Carril Oeste (W) · Racing Club (W)

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Ferro Carril Oeste (W)0.98

Racing Club (W)1.4

1X2

25% 29% 46%

Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Draw Racing Club (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWDLWD

Racing Club (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWWWWL

Head-to-head

Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 2–1–3 Racing Club (W) (6 last)

Racing Club (W)2-0Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)1-4Racing Club (W)
Racing Club (W)2-1Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Ferro Carril Oeste (W)0-0Racing Club (W)
Racing Club (W)2-5Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
Racing Club (W)2-5Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 1523 · Racing Club (W) 1590

	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	Draw	Racing Club (W)
Our model	25%	30%	45%
Market	25%	29%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing Club (W) (rating 1523 vs 1590).
H2H favours Racing Club (W): 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	Racing Club (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	2.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.1	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.10

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.95 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.04

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:56 +18’	3.50	3.10	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:06 +1’	3.95	2.99	2.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 2–1–3 Racing Club (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Argentina Championship Women	Racing Club (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
01/03/25 Argentina Championship Women	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	1-4 HT 1-3	Racing Club (W)
07/10/24 Argentina Championship Women	Racing Club (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
20/05/24 Argentina Championship Women	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Racing Club (W)
13/11/23 Argentina Championship Women	Racing Club (W)	2-5	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)
10/11/23 Argentina Championship Women	Racing Club (W)	2-5 HT 0-4	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Luis FC (W)	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Union Santa Fe (W)	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
3	Boca Juniors (W)	3	2	0	1	5	3	6
4	Lanus (W)	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
5	San Lorenzo (W)	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
6	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
6	Social Atletico Television (W)	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
8	Banfield (W)	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
9	Belgrano (W)	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
10	River Plate (W)	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
11	Huracan (W)	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
12	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	Racing Club (W)	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
14	Gimnasia LP (W)	3	0	0	3	1	5	0
15	CA Independiente Women	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
16	Newell's Old Boys (W)	3	0	0	3	1	7	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	Racing Club (W)
Boca Juniors (W)	3-3 D	1-2 L
San Luis FC (W)	0-2 L	2-0 W
Union Santa Fe (W)	2-1 W	2-1 W
CA Independiente Women	6-1 W	3-1 W
Huracan (W)	0-0 D	2-0 W
Belgrano (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ferro Carril Oeste (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

WDWWLWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	2-2	2	7	D
27/07	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
22/07	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
13/07	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-2	3-3	3	3	D
08/07	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
04/07	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-2	10	4	L
28/06	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	2-1	2	7	W
20/06	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	2-1	6-1	6	4	W
15/06	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
23/05	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	4	5	W

Racing Club (W)

WWWWDWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
22/07	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	2-0	3	0	W
13/07	Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	2-1	7	5	W
09/07	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	3-1	3-1	2	5	W
04/07	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
26/06	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
21/06	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	3-1	1	4	W
15/06	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	4-0	3	2	W
23/05	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-1	4-1	6	4	W
15/05	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-0	8	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ferro Carril Oeste (W) vs Racing Club (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Racing Club (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 25%, draw 29%, Racing Club (W) 46%.

How many goals are expected in Ferro Carril Oeste (W) vs Racing Club (W)?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Ferro Carril Oeste (W) 0.98 · Racing Club (W) 1.4), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ferro Carril Oeste (W) vs Racing Club (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.