Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 14/08, 21:30

Prediction: Encarnacion FC vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Team pages: Encarnacion FC · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.06Total

Encarnacion FC0.76

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1.3

1X2

22% 29% 49%

Encarnacion FC Draw 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-1

Recent form · 10 last

Encarnacion FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Encarnacion FC 1–4 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (5 last)

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1-0Encarnacion FC
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes3-0Encarnacion FC
Encarnacion FC0-312 de Junio de Villa Hayes
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes2-1Encarnacion FC
Encarnacion FC2-012 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Encarnacion FC 1416 · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1546

	Encarnacion FC	Draw	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Our model	21%	31%	48%
Market	22%	28%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (rating 1416 vs 1546).
H2H favours 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes: 4-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Encarnacion FC	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	2.2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

14.00

X3.25

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:51 +2’	4.00	3.25	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Encarnacion FC 1–0–4 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-0 HT 0-0	Encarnacion FC
13/09/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	3-0 HT 2-0	Encarnacion FC
08/06/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	0-3 HT 0-1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
25/08/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	2-1 HT 1-0	Encarnacion FC
18/05/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	2-0 HT 0-0	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	18	11	4	3	26	16	37
2	General Caballero JLM	18	11	3	4	37	23	36
3	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	18	10	5	3	29	17	35
4	Deportivo Santaní	18	10	3	5	27	16	33
5	Sol de America	18	6	10	2	24	16	28
6	Resistencia FC	18	6	7	5	21	22	25
7	Carapegua	18	7	4	7	22	29	25
8	Club Atlético Tembetary	18	6	5	7	25	25	23
9	Independiente FBC	18	5	8	5	26	25	23
10	Guairena FC	18	6	5	7	18	21	23
11	Deportivo Capiata	18	5	8	5	24	25	23
12	Fernando de la Mora	18	5	5	8	19	27	20
13	Paraguari AC	18	5	4	9	18	23	19
14	Tacuary	18	3	9	6	22	27	18
15	Encarnacion FC	18	3	3	12	15	25	12
16	3 de Noviembre	18	0	7	11	14	30	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Encarnacion FC	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Deportivo Santaní	0-1 L	2-4 L
Fernando de la Mora	0-0 D	1-1 D
3 de Noviembre	2-1 W	1-0 W
General Caballero JLM	0-1 L	1-0 W
Guairena FC	1-2 L	1-0 W
Resistencia FC	0-1 L	3-2 W
Sol de America	2-3 L	0-1 L
Deportivo Capiata	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Encarnacion FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
02/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
26/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
22/07	Humaita FBC Paraguay Cup	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
19/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
11/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
06/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
30/06	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
08/06	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-3	5	7	L
31/05	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	1	8	L

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	2-4	9	6	L
01/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
28/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	11	6	W
21/07	29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Cup	0-0	1-1	7	9	D
18/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
12/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/07	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-1	3-2	5	9	W
28/06	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
07/06	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
30/05	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	6	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Encarnacion FC vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes?

According to our model, the most likely result is an 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes win (49%). Probabilities: Encarnacion FC 22%, draw 29%, 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 49%.

How many goals are expected in Encarnacion FC vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes?

The model expects 2.06 goals (Encarnacion FC 0.76 · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1.3), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Encarnacion FC vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.