Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 15/08, 09:00

Prediction: UWA-Nedlands FC vs Subiaco AFC

Team pages: UWA-Nedlands FC · Subiaco AFC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.76Total

UWA-Nedlands FC2.73

Subiaco AFC1.03

1X2

73% 16% 12%

UWA-Nedlands FC Draw Subiaco AFC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

UWA-Nedlands FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Subiaco AFC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

UWA-Nedlands FC 3–2–1 Subiaco AFC (6 last)

Subiaco AFC2-3UWA-Nedlands FC
Subiaco AFC0-0UWA-Nedlands FC
UWA-Nedlands FC3-1Subiaco AFC
Subiaco AFC2-0UWA-Nedlands FC
UWA-Nedlands FC1-1Subiaco AFC
Subiaco AFC0-1UWA-Nedlands FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UWA-Nedlands FC 1572 · Subiaco AFC 1438

	UWA-Nedlands FC	Draw	Subiaco AFC
Our model	72%	17%	11%
Market	73%	15%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UWA-Nedlands FC (rating 1572 vs 1438).
H2H favours UWA-Nedlands FC: 3-2-1.
High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UWA-Nedlands FC	Subiaco AFC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 8.5	1.8 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.22

X6.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.98

2 (+2)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
05:31 +2’	1.22	6.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UWA-Nedlands FC 3–2–1 Subiaco AFC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Subiaco AFC	2-3 HT 1-2	UWA-Nedlands FC
21/06/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Subiaco AFC	0-0 HT 0-0	UWA-Nedlands FC
22/03/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1	UWA-Nedlands FC	3-1 HT 1-0	Subiaco AFC
31/08/24 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Subiaco AFC	2-0 HT 0-0	UWA-Nedlands FC
15/06/24 Australia Western Australia State League 1	UWA-Nedlands FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Subiaco AFC
01/07/23 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Subiaco AFC	0-1 HT 0-0	UWA-Nedlands FC

Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Floreat Athena	20	15	3	2	51	19	48
2	UWA-Nedlands FC	20	14	2	4	47	23	44
3	Mandurah City	20	10	3	7	43	36	33
4	Joondalup City	20	10	3	7	35	31	33
5	Quinns FC	20	9	3	8	29	36	30
6	Inglewood United	20	8	5	7	21	23	29
7	Kingsley Westside	19	8	2	9	29	28	26
8	Gwelup Croatia SC	19	6	6	7	30	37	24
9	Cockburn City	20	6	4	10	33	46	22
10	Murdoch University Melville FC	20	4	7	9	34	42	19
11	Subiaco AFC	20	4	2	14	32	46	14
12	Curtin University SC	20	3	4	13	19	36	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UWA-Nedlands FC	Subiaco AFC
Murdoch University Melville FC	3-0 W	1-1 D
Mandurah City	3-0 W	3-5 L
Curtin University SC	2-1 W	2-2 D
Inglewood United	1-3 L	0-2 L
Quinns FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Kingsley Westside	3-0 W	2-1 W
Cockburn City	2-1 W	1-2 L
Gwelup Croatia SC	2-0 W	1-2 L
Floreat Athena	3-2 W	1-2 L
Joondalup City	1-1 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	7 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: UWA-Nedlands FC (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UWA-Nedlands FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-0	3-0	7	3	W
01/08	Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
25/07	Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
18/07	Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
11/07	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
04/07	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
27/06	Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
20/06	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/06	Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-2	3-2	–	–	W
06/06	Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	1-1	14	3	D

Subiaco AFC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-1	2-2	5	6	D
01/08	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	1-2	8	3	L
25/07	Floreat Athena Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
18/07	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
11/07	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
04/07	Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
27/06	Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-3	1-4	–	–	L
20/06	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/06	Mandurah City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-3	3-5	4	6	L
06/06	Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-2	1-2	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UWA-Nedlands FC vs Subiaco AFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UWA-Nedlands FC win (73%). Probabilities: UWA-Nedlands FC 73%, draw 16%, Subiaco AFC 12%.

How many goals are expected in UWA-Nedlands FC vs Subiaco AFC?

The model expects 3.76 goals (UWA-Nedlands FC 2.73 · Subiaco AFC 1.03), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in UWA-Nedlands FC vs Subiaco AFC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.