Football · Australia Western Australia State League 1 · 15/08, 09:01

Prediction: Floreat Athena vs Mandurah City

Team pages: Floreat Athena · Mandurah City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.82Total

Floreat Athena2.48

Mandurah City1.34

1X2

62% 19% 19%

Floreat Athena Draw Mandurah City

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Floreat Athena 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWWWWW

Mandurah City 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWWDLL

Head-to-head

Floreat Athena 2–1–2 Mandurah City (5 last)

Mandurah City2-1Floreat Athena
Mandurah City0-3Floreat Athena
Floreat Athena0-0Mandurah City
Mandurah City0-2Floreat Athena
Floreat Athena1-2Mandurah City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Floreat Athena 1575 · Mandurah City 1525

	Floreat Athena	Draw	Mandurah City
Our model	62%	20%	18%
Market	62%	19%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.82 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Floreat Athena (rating 1575 vs 1525).
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Floreat Athena	Mandurah City
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.1	2.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.5	4.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.3	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.75

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.93

2 (+1.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.44▼	Bet365 1.44
X	4.33 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75
2	4.00 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:30 +2’	1.57	4.33	4.00
21:31 +7’	1.44▼	4.75▲	4.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Floreat Athena 2–1–2 Mandurah City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Australia Western Australia State League 1	Mandurah City	2-1 HT 0-0	Floreat Athena
20/02/26 Australia Friendlies	Mandurah City	0-3 HT 0-1	Floreat Athena
05/08/17 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Floreat Athena	0-0 HT 0-0	Mandurah City
22/04/17 Australia Western Australia Premier League	Mandurah City	0-2 HT 0-0	Floreat Athena
28/01/17 Australia Friendlies	Floreat Athena	1-2 HT 1-0	Mandurah City

Standings · Australia Western Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Floreat Athena	20	15	3	2	51	19	48
2	UWA-Nedlands FC	20	14	2	4	47	23	44
3	Mandurah City	20	10	3	7	43	36	33
4	Joondalup City	20	10	3	7	35	31	33
5	Quinns FC	20	9	3	8	29	36	30
6	Inglewood United	20	8	5	7	21	23	29
7	Kingsley Westside	19	8	2	9	29	28	26
8	Gwelup Croatia SC	19	6	6	7	30	37	24
9	Cockburn City	20	6	4	10	33	46	22
10	Murdoch University Melville FC	20	4	7	9	34	42	19
11	Subiaco AFC	20	4	2	14	32	46	14
12	Curtin University SC	20	3	4	13	19	36	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Floreat Athena	Mandurah City
Cockburn City	7-1 W	2-2 D
Kingsley Westside	2-0 W	3-1 W
Subiaco AFC	2-1 W	5-3 W
Quinns FC	2-1 W	0-1 L
Curtin University SC	4-0 W	4-3 W
Murdoch University Melville FC	2-2 D	2-1 W
Inglewood United	2-0 W	1-1 D
Joondalup City	1-3 L	2-1 W
UWA-Nedlands FC	2-3 L	0-3 L
Gwelup Croatia SC	4-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	7 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Floreat Athena (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Floreat Athena

WLLWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1	5-0	7-1	6	0	W
01/08	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
25/07	Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
18/07	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
11/07	Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
04/07	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
27/06	Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
20/06	Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
13/06	UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	2-0	2-3	–	–	L
05/06	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	4-0	8	3	W

Mandurah City

WWDWDWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Quinns FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/08	UWA-Nedlands FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	0-3	8	4	L
25/07	Inglewood United Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/07	Curtin University SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-0	4-3	–	–	W
11/07	Joondalup City Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
04/07	Gwelup Croatia SC Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
27/06	Kingsley Westside Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
20/06	Cockburn City Australia Western Australia State League 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
13/06	Subiaco AFC Australia Western Australia State League 1	3-1	5-3	4	6	W
06/06	Murdoch University Melville FC Australia Western Australia State League 1	0-0	2-1	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Floreat Athena vs Mandurah City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Floreat Athena win (62%). Probabilities: Floreat Athena 62%, draw 19%, Mandurah City 19%.

How many goals are expected in Floreat Athena vs Mandurah City?

The model expects 3.82 goals (Floreat Athena 2.48 · Mandurah City 1.34), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Floreat Athena vs Mandurah City?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.