Prediction: BuxDu vs Shurtan
| BuxDu | Draw | Shurtan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 26% | 49% |
| Market | 26% | 25% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shurtan (rating 1458 vs 1509).
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| BuxDu | Shurtan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.3 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/38/38% | 22/44/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.1 | 1.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0.2 |
Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Orol Nukus | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 32 |
| 2 | Shurtan | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | Kattaqorgon | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Metallurg Bekabad | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Lochin | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 6 | Fardu Ferghana | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 19 |
| 7 | Olympic Mobiuz | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | Gazalkent | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Jayxun | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Yaypan Fergana | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 13 |
| 11 | Respublika FA | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | BuxDu | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 10 |
| 13 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 29 | 4 |
| 14 | PFC Terdu | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 25 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BuxDu | Shurtan |
|---|---|---|
| Jayxun | 1-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| PFC Terdu | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Yaypan Fergana | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: BuxDu (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BuxDu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Jayxun Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 24/07 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/06 | PFC Terdu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | FC Lochin Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/05 | Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan Cup |
0-4 | 2-6 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22/05 | Guliston Uzbekistan Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Fardu Ferghana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 30/04 | Kattaqorgon Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Olympic Mobiuz Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
Shurtan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 24/07 | FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 10/06 | Gazalkent Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/06 | Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Jayxun Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/05 | Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | FK Andijan Uzbekistan Cup |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 05/05 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | PFC Terdu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BuxDu vs Shurtan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shurtan win (49%). Probabilities: BuxDu 25%, draw 25%, Shurtan 49%.
How many goals are expected in BuxDu vs Shurtan?
The model expects 2.97 goals (BuxDu 1.21 · Shurtan 1.76), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in BuxDu vs Shurtan?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.