Prediction: Metallurg Bekabad vs Respublika FA

Team pages: Metallurg Bekabad · Respublika FA

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Metallurg Bekabad1.99
Respublika FA1.05
1X2
58% 23% 19%
Metallurg Bekabad Draw Respublika FA
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Metallurg Bekabad 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDWDLWLWLD
Respublika FA 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DDLLWWLLLD
Head-to-head
Metallurg Bekabad 0–1–0 Respublika FA (1 last)
  • Metallurg Bekabad1-1Respublika FA
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Metallurg Bekabad 1495 · Respublika FA 1460
Metallurg BekabadDrawRespublika FA
Our model58%23%18%
Market59%22%19%
Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Metallurg BekabadRespublika FA
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.31 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%13/63/25%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.91.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.23.1 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Metallurg Bekabad 010 Respublika FA

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/04/26
Uzbekistan 1st Division
Metallurg Bekabad1-1Respublika FA

Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FK Orol Nukus 141130 30836
2 Shurtan 14932 221430
3 Kattaqorgon 14932 19830
4 Fardu Ferghana 14743 262225
5 FC Lochin 14743 221525
6 Gazalkent 14734 271724
7 Metallurg Bekabad 14644 311322
8 Olympic Mobiuz 14644 271522
9 FC Yaypan Fergana 14437 152415
10 Jayxun 14428 162214
11 Respublika FA 14347 142113
12 BuxDu 143110 133310
13 Pakhtakor Tashkent II 141112 8364
14 PFC Terdu 141112 10324

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMetallurg BekabadRespublika FA
FC Yaypan Fergana 1-1 D 0-1 L
FK Orol Nukus 0-1 L 0-0 D
FC Lochin 5-0 W 0-0 D
Gazalkent 2-3 L 0-7 L
Fardu Ferghana 7-0 W 1-1 D
Shurtan 0-1 L 1-2 L
Jayxun 0-2 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 4 L 0 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Metallurg Bekabad (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Metallurg Bekabad

LDWDLWLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 FC Yaypan Fergana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 1-1 54 D
05/08 FK Orol Nukus
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 0-1 50 L
31/07 FC Lochin
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 5-0 23 W
23/07 Gazalkent
Uzbekistan 1st Division
2-0 2-3 76 L
08/06 Fardu Ferghana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
3-0 7-0 55 W
04/06 Shurtan
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 0-1 42 L
31/05 Kattaqorgon
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-1 1-1 32 D
16/05 FK Orol Nukus
Uzbekistan Cup
0-0 2-1 63 W
10/05 AGMK
Uzbekistan Cup
0-2 3-3 75 D
05/05 Jayxun
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 0-2 56 L

Respublika FA

DDLLWWLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 FK Orol Nukus
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 D
04/08 Gazalkent
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-2 0-7 26 L
30/07 Shurtan
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-2 1-2 60 L
25/07 Jayxun
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 1-2 34 L
08/06 Pakhtakor Tashkent II
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 3-0 93 W
04/06 PFC Terdu
Uzbekistan 1st Division
3-0 4-2 47 W
31/05 FC Yaypan Fergana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 0-1 13 L
14/05 Olympic Mobiuz
Uzbekistan Cup
0-0 0-1 51 L
05/05 FC Lochin
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 0-0 05 D
01/05 Fardu Ferghana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-1 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Metallurg Bekabad vs Respublika FA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Metallurg Bekabad win (58%). Probabilities: Metallurg Bekabad 58%, draw 23%, Respublika FA 19%.

How many goals are expected in Metallurg Bekabad vs Respublika FA?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Metallurg Bekabad 1.99 · Respublika FA 1.05), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Metallurg Bekabad vs Respublika FA?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.