Prediction: FC Lochin vs FC Yaypan Fergana
Team pages: FC Lochin · FC Yaypan Fergana
| FC Lochin | Draw | FC Yaypan Fergana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lochin (rating 1503 vs 1428).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Lochin | FC Yaypan Fergana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/25/38% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.4 | 3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Orol Nukus | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 32 |
| 2 | Shurtan | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | Kattaqorgon | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Metallurg Bekabad | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Lochin | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 6 | Fardu Ferghana | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 19 |
| 7 | Olympic Mobiuz | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | Gazalkent | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Jayxun | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Yaypan Fergana | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 13 |
| 11 | Respublika FA | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | BuxDu | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 10 |
| 13 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 29 | 4 |
| 14 | PFC Terdu | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 25 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Lochin | FC Yaypan Fergana |
|---|---|---|
| Fardu Ferghana | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Olympic Mobiuz | 3-2 W | 1-6 L |
| Kattaqorgon | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| BuxDu | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Respublika FA | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| FK Orol Nukus | 2-2 D | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Lochin (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Lochin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Fardu Ferghana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Olympic Mobiuz Uzbekistan 1st Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/06 | Kattaqorgon Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Gazalkent Uzbekistan Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/05 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Gazalkent Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 20/04 | Shurtan Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
FC Yaypan Fergana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Fardu Ferghana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 25/07 | Kattaqorgon Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Olympic Mobiuz Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-6 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/06 | BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | Kattaqorgon Uzbekistan Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan Cup |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Lochin vs FC Yaypan Fergana?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Lochin win (54%). Probabilities: FC Lochin 54%, draw 23%, FC Yaypan Fergana 23%.
How many goals are expected in FC Lochin vs FC Yaypan Fergana?
The model expects 3.16 goals (FC Lochin 1.94 · FC Yaypan Fergana 1.22), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Lochin vs FC Yaypan Fergana?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.