Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 06/08, 00:30
Prediction: Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos FC
Team pages: Deportivo La Guaira · Metropolitanos FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Deportivo La Guaira1.45
Metropolitanos FC0.97
1X2
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw
Metropolitanos FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo La Guaira
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Metropolitanos FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo La Guaira
3–2–1
Metropolitanos FC
(6 last)
- Metropolitanos FC2-2Deportivo La Guaira
- Metropolitanos FC1-3Deportivo La Guaira
- Deportivo La Guaira4-1Metropolitanos FC
- Metropolitanos FC0-0Deportivo La Guaira
- Metropolitanos FC0-1Deportivo La Guaira
- Metropolitanos FC2-1Deportivo La Guaira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo La Guaira 1494 · Metropolitanos FC 1509
| Deportivo La Guaira | Draw | Metropolitanos FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo La Guaira: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo La Guaira | Metropolitanos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.1 | 2.2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.2 | 6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo La Guaira 3–2–1 Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 10/08/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 01/03/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo La Guaira | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 27/08/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 20/07/24 Venezuela Cup | Metropolitanos FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 11/05/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Deportivo La Guaira |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trujillanos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo La Guaira | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Zamora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Deportivo Tachira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Monagas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Carabobo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | UCV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo La Guaira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 28/05 | Fluminense Copa Libertadores |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 22/05 | Independiente Rivadavia Copa Libertadores |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 13/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | Bolivar Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 24/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 27/04 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo La Guaira win (47%). Probabilities: Deportivo La Guaira 47%, draw 29%, Metropolitanos FC 24%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos FC?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Deportivo La Guaira 1.45 · Metropolitanos FC 0.97), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo La Guaira vs Metropolitanos FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.