Football · Bulgaria Second League · 09/08, 17:00

Prediction: Vihren Sandanski vs Chernomorets Burgas

Team pages: Vihren Sandanski · Chernomorets Burgas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

Vihren Sandanski1.61

Chernomorets Burgas0.92

1X2

53% 27% 21%

Vihren Sandanski Draw Chernomorets Burgas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vihren Sandanski 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWDWDW

Chernomorets Burgas 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWDLWLDW

Head-to-head

Vihren Sandanski 0–2 Chernomorets Burgas (2 last)

Vihren Sandanski0-2Chernomorets Burgas
Chernomorets Burgas3-2Vihren Sandanski

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vihren Sandanski 1530 · Chernomorets Burgas 1529

	Vihren Sandanski	Draw	Chernomorets Burgas
Our model	52%	27%	20%
Market	53%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Chernomorets Burgas: 2-0-0.
High corners: 15.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vihren Sandanski	Chernomorets Burgas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.3	5 / 10
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.40

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:30 +3’	1.70	3.40	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vihren Sandanski 0–0–2 Chernomorets Burgas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Bulgaria Second League	Vihren Sandanski	0-2 HT 0-0	Chernomorets Burgas
13/09/25 Bulgaria Second League	Chernomorets Burgas	3-2 HT 2-1	Vihren Sandanski

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Spartak Pleven	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
2	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	2	1	1	0	5	1	4
3	Vihren Sandanski	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
4	Chernomorets Burgas	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	Marek Dupnitsa	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
6	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1	1	0	0	5	1	3
7	Ludogorets Razgrad II	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
8	Beroe	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	FK Fratria	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
10	Sportist Svoge	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
11	Montana	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
12	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
12	CSKA Sofia II	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
14	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	2	0	0	2	3	5	0
15	Yantra Gabrovo	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
15	Rilski Sportist	2	0	0	2	0	2	0
17	Pirin Blagoevgrad	1	0	0	1	1	5	0
17	Nesebar	1	0	0	1	1	5	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vihren Sandanski	Chernomorets Burgas
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	3-2 W	3-1 W
FC Sevlievo	4-0 W	2-3 L
Sportist Svoge	4-1 W	1-0 W
Marek Dupnitsa	0-1 L	0-3 L
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vihren Sandanski (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vihren Sandanski

LDLWWWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-2	1	6	W
28/07	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	10	5	D
15/05	Minyor Pernik Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
11/05	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
04/05	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-1	2-1	9	2	W
25/04	FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League	2-0	4-0	9	6	W
16/04	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
10/04	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
04/04	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	2-0	2-2	8	4	D
28/03	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	1	6	L

Chernomorets Burgas

LWDWDLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
25/07	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
23/05	FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
15/05	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
11/05	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
03/05	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
27/04	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
16/04	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	12	6	D
09/04	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	15	2	W
04/04	Belasitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	18	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vihren Sandanski vs Chernomorets Burgas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vihren Sandanski win (53%). Probabilities: Vihren Sandanski 53%, draw 27%, Chernomorets Burgas 21%.

How many goals are expected in Vihren Sandanski vs Chernomorets Burgas?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Vihren Sandanski 1.61 · Chernomorets Burgas 0.92), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vihren Sandanski vs Chernomorets Burgas?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.