Prediction: Kattaqorgon vs Pakhtakor Tashkent II
Team pages: Kattaqorgon · Pakhtakor Tashkent II
| Kattaqorgon | Draw | Pakhtakor Tashkent II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 15% | 5% |
| Market | 86% | 10% | 4% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kattaqorgon (rating 1530 vs 1385).
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kattaqorgon | Pakhtakor Tashkent II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/50/25% | 0/38/63% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.4 | 1.4 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Orol Nukus | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 32 |
| 2 | Shurtan | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | Kattaqorgon | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Metallurg Bekabad | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Lochin | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 6 | Fardu Ferghana | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 19 |
| 7 | Olympic Mobiuz | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | Gazalkent | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Jayxun | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Yaypan Fergana | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 13 |
| 11 | Respublika FA | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | BuxDu | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 10 |
| 13 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 29 | 4 |
| 14 | PFC Terdu | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 25 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kattaqorgon | Pakhtakor Tashkent II |
|---|---|---|
| PFC Terdu | 2-0 W | 4-2 W |
| FC Yaypan Fergana | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Metallurg Bekabad | 1-1 D | 0-5 L |
| Olympic Mobiuz | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| BuxDu | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Respublika FA | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Kattaqorgon (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kattaqorgon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | PFC Terdu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/06 | FC Lochin Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/06 | Fardu Ferghana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 27/05 | Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/05 | FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/05 | Olympic Mobiuz Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 30/04 | BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Pakhtakor Tashkent II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Olympic Mobiuz Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/06 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Gazalkent Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Shurtan Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Jayxun Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | PFC Terdu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kattaqorgon vs Pakhtakor Tashkent II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kattaqorgon win (83%). Probabilities: Kattaqorgon 83%, draw 12%, Pakhtakor Tashkent II 5%.
How many goals are expected in Kattaqorgon vs Pakhtakor Tashkent II?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Kattaqorgon 2.53 · Pakhtakor Tashkent II 0.53), with a 58% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kattaqorgon vs Pakhtakor Tashkent II?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.